Alcoa Corporation Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA, ASX: AAI))) today reported results for the third quarter 2024 that reflect the acquisition of Alumina Limited in addition to sequential increases in net income, adjusted net income and Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items.

Financial Results and Highlights

• Net income increased sequentially to $90 million, or $0.38 per common share
• Adjusted net income increased sequentially to $135 million, or $0.57 per common share
• Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items increased sequentially to $455 million
• Completed the acquisition of Alumina Limited on August 1, 2024
• Announced an agreement for the sale of 25.1% interest in the Ma'aden joint ventures
• Announced progress toward a strategic cooperation agreement with a partner to support continued San Ciprián operations
• Paid quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share of stock, totaling $26 million (including newly issued shares for the acquisition of Alumina Limited)
• Finished the third quarter 2024 with cash balance of $1.3 billion

"During the third quarter, we maintained our pace of delivering on strategic actions. We gained flexibility after closing the Alumina Limited acquisition and announced the sale of our interest in the Ma'aden joint ventures," said Alcoa President and CEO William F. Oplinger. "Positive markets and our focus on continuous improvement led to stronger results for the third quarter, while we continue to execute initiatives to further enhance our operations."

Third Quarter 2024 Results

• Production: Alumina production decreased 4 percent sequentially to 2.44 million metric tons primarily due to the full curtailment of the Kwinana refinery completed in June 2024. In the Aluminum segment, production increased 3 percent sequentially to 559,000 metric tons primarily due to continued progress on the Alumar smelter restart.
• Shipments: In the Alumina segment, third-party shipments of alumina decreased 9 percent sequentially primarily due to decreased trading. In Aluminum, total shipments decreased 6 percent sequentially primarily due to decreased trading and the timing of shipments.
• Revenue: The Company's total third-party revenue was flat sequentially at $2.9 billion. In the Alumina segment, third-party revenue increased 9 percent on a 22 percent increase in average realized third-party price, partially offset by lower shipments. In the Aluminum segment, third-party revenue decreased 5 percent primarily due to lower shipments.
• Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation was $90 million, or $0.38 per common share. Sequentially, the results reflect increased alumina prices and lower raw material costs. Additionally, the results reflect the benefit of the absence of Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest for the full quarter.
• Adjusted net income was $135 million, or $0.57 per common share, excluding the impact from net special items of $45 million. Notable special items include a mark-to-market loss of $31 million related to energy contracts, restructuring charges of $14 million related to remediation and demolition costs at closed locations, and a restructuring charge of $12 million for contract termination costs at a closed location, partially offset by the tax and noncontrolling interest impact of these items.
• Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items was $455 million, a sequential increase of $130 million primarily due to higher alumina prices and lower raw material costs.
• Cash: Alcoa ended the quarter with a cash balance of $1.3 billion. Cash provided from operations was $143 million. Cash used for financing activities was $84 million primarily related to $26 million in cash dividends on stock, $19 million of net payments on short-term borrowings and $17 million in distributions to noncontrolling interest. Cash used for investing activities was $153 million due to capital expenditures of $146 million.
• Working capital: For the third quarter, Receivables from customers of $0.9 billion, Inventories of $2.1 billion and Accounts payable, trade of $1.5 billion comprised DWC working capital. Alcoa reported 45 days working capital, a sequential increase of four days primarily due to an increase in inventory days on timing of shipments.

Key Actions

Strategic

• Ma'aden joint ventures: On September 15, 2024, Alcoa announced that it entered into a binding share purchase and subscription agreement with Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden), under which Alcoa will sell its full ownership interest of 25.1% in the Ma'aden joint ventures to Ma'aden for approximately $1.1 billion. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals, approval by Ma'aden's shareholders and other customary closing conditions and is expected to close in the first half of 2025.
• Acquisition of Alumina Limited: On August 1, 2024, the Company announced the completion of its acquisition of Alumina Limited. This strategic move positions Alcoa to further strengthen its market leadership as a pure play, upstream aluminum company.

Operational

• Western Australia mine approvals: The Company continued to advance mine approvals for the next two Western Australian mine regions (Myara North and Holyoake) which were referred for accredited assessment by the Western Australian Environmental Protection Authority (WA EPA) under the bilateral assessment process (Accredited Assessment). The process began in 2020 and Alcoa is focused on receiving approval by the first quarter of 2026. The Company anticipates mining in the new regions will commence no earlier than 2027. Until then, the Company expects bauxite quality will remain similar to recent grades.
• San Ciprián complex: On October 16, 2024, Alcoa announced that it is progressing toward entering into a strategic cooperation agreement with IGNIS Equity Holdings, SL (IGNIS EQT), to support the continued operation of the San Ciprián complex. Under the proposed agreement, Alcoa would maintain a majority ownership share of San Ciprián complex, including continuing as the managing operator, with IGNIS EQT holding 25 percent. The proposed agreement is conditional upon delivery of key areas of cooperation with San Ciprián's stakeholders.
• Profitability improvement programs: In January 2024, the Company shared a series of actions to improve its profitability by $645 million by year end 2025 in comparison to the base year 2023. Through the third quarter 2024, the Company had implemented numerous improvements to achieve approximately 80 percent of the target. The Company is on track to deliver the full target by year end 2025.
• Energy contract: In September 2024, Alcoa secured a new power agreement with AGL Energy Limited (AGL) to support future operations at Portland Aluminium Smelter in the State of Victoria in Australia. The nine-year agreement for 287 megawatts of power supply is effective July 1, 2026, when current contracts end. Together with a contract reached with AGL in 2023, the combined contracts represent approximately 95 percent of the energy required to meet the facility's total capacity of 358,000 mtpy.

Commercial

• Alumina supply agreement: On October 15, 2024, the Company announced a long-term agreement for Alcoa to supply up to 16.5 million tonnes of smelter grade alumina to Aluminium Bahrain B.S.C. (Alba) over 10 years.

2024 Outlook

The following outlook does not include reconciliations of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income, including transformation, intersegment eliminations and other corporate Adjusted EBITDA; operational tax expense; and other expense; each excluding special items, to the most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because it is impractical to forecast certain special items, such as restructuring charges and mark-to-market contracts, without unreasonable efforts due to the variability and complexity associated with predicting the occurrence and financial impact of such special items. For the same reasons, the Company is unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information, which could be material to future results.

Alcoa expects total 2024 Alumina segment production to remain unchanged from the prior projection, ranging between 9.8 and 10.0 million metric tons. The Company is increasing its projection for shipments to range between 12.9 and 13.1 million metric tons, an increase of 0.2 million metric tons from the prior projection primarily due to increased trading volumes. The difference between production and shipments reflects trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to fulfill customer contracts due to the curtailment of the Kwinana refinery.

Alcoa expects 2024 total Aluminum segment production and shipments to remain unchanged from the prior projection, ranging between 2.2 and 2.3 million metric tons, and between 2.5 and 2.6 million metric tons, respectively.

Within fourth quarter 2024 Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA, the Company expects sequential favorable impacts of $30 million due to higher shipments and lower production costs.

For the fourth quarter 2024, the Company expects Aluminum Segment performance to be flat, maintaining the strong performance from the third quarter 2024.

The Company expects Other expenses for the fourth quarter 2024 to increase approximately $20 million sequentially on Ma'aden equity losses and equity contributions to ELYSIS^™.

Based on current alumina and aluminum market conditions, Alcoa expects fourth quarter operational tax expense to approximate $120 million to $130 million, which may vary with market conditions and jurisdictional profitability.

Conference Call

Alcoa will hold its quarterly conference call at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time (EDT) / 8:00 a.m. Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) on Wednesday, October 16, 2024 / Thursday, October 17, 2024, to present third quarter 2024 financial results and discuss the business, developments, and market conditions.

The call will be webcast via the Company's homepage on www.alcoa.com. Presentation materials for the call will be available for viewing on the same website at approximately 4:15 p.m. EDT on October 16, 2024 / 7:15 a.m. AEDT on October 17, 2024. Call information and related details are available under the "Investors" section of www.alcoa.com.

Dissemination of Company Information

Alcoa intends to make future announcements regarding company developments and financial performance through its website, www.alcoa.com, as well as through press releases, filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, conference calls and webcasts. The Company does not incorporate the information contained on, or accessible through, its corporate website or such other websites or platforms referenced herein into this press release.

About Alcoa Corporation

Alcoa (NYSE:AA, ASX: AAI))) is a global industry leader in bauxite, alumina and aluminum products with a vision to reinvent the aluminum industry for a sustainable future. Our purpose is to turn raw potential into real progress, underpinned by Alcoa Values that encompass integrity, operating excellence, care for people and courageous leadership. Since developing the process that made aluminum an affordable and vital part of modern life, our talented Alcoans have developed breakthrough innovations and best practices that have led to improved safety, sustainability, efficiency, and stronger communities wherever we operate.

Discover more by visiting www.alcoa.com. Follow us on our social media channels: Facebook, Instagram, X, YouTube and LinkedIn.

Cautionary Statement on Forward-Looking Statements

This news release contains statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include those containing such words as "aims," "ambition," "anticipates," "believes," "could," "develop," "endeavors," "estimates," "expects," "forecasts," "goal," "intends," "may," "outlook," "potential," "plans," "projects," "reach," "seeks," "sees," "should," "strive," "targets," "will," "working," "would," or other words of similar meaning. All statements by Alcoa Corporation that reflect expectations, assumptions or projections about the future, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding forecasts concerning global demand growth for bauxite, alumina, and aluminum, and supply/demand balances; statements, projections or forecasts of future or targeted financial results, or operating performance (including our ability to execute on strategies related to environmental, social and governance matters, such as our Green Finance Framework); statements about strategies, outlook, and business and financial prospects; and statements about capital allocation and return of capital. These statements reflect beliefs and assumptions that are based on Alcoa Corporation's perception of historical trends, current conditions, and expected future developments, as well as other factors that management believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. Although Alcoa Corporation believes that the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that these expectations will be attained and it is possible that actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks and uncertainties. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: (1) the impact of global economic conditions on the aluminum industry and aluminum end-use markets; (2) volatility and declines in aluminum and alumina demand and pricing, including global, regional, and product-specific prices, or significant changes in production costs which are linked to London Metal Exchange (LME) or other commodities; (3) the disruption of market-driven balancing of global aluminum supply and demand by non-market forces; (4) competitive and complex conditions in global markets; (5) our ability to obtain, maintain, or renew permits or approvals necessary for our mining operations; (6) rising energy costs and interruptions or uncertainty in energy supplies; (7) unfavorable changes in the cost, quality, or availability of raw materials or other key inputs, or by disruptions in the supply chain; (8) our ability to execute on our strategy to be a lower cost, competitive, and integrated aluminum production business and to realize the anticipated benefits from announced plans, programs, initiatives relating to our portfolio, capital investments, and developing technologies; (9) our ability to integrate and achieve intended results from joint ventures, other strategic alliances, and strategic business transactions; (10) economic, political, and social conditions, including the impact of trade policies and adverse industry publicity; (11) fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates, inflation and other economic factors in the countries in which we operate; (12) changes in tax laws or exposure to additional tax liabilities; (13) global competition within and beyond the aluminum industry; (14) our ability to obtain or maintain adequate insurance coverage; (15) disruptions in the global economy caused by ongoing regional conflicts; (16) legal proceedings, investigations, or changes in foreign and/or U.S. federal, state, or local laws, regulations, or policies; (17) climate change, climate change legislation or regulations, and efforts to reduce emissions and build operational resilience to extreme weather conditions; (18) our ability to achieve our strategies or expectations relating to environmental, social, and governance considerations; (19) claims, costs, and liabilities related to health, safety and environmental laws, regulations, and other requirements in the jurisdictions in which we operate; (20) liabilities resulting from impoundment structures, which could impact the environment or cause exposure to hazardous substances or other damage; (21) our ability to fund capital expenditures; (22) deterioration in our credit profile or increases in interest rates; (23) restrictions on our current and future operations due to our indebtedness; (24) our ability to continue to return capital to our stockholders through the payment of cash dividends and/or the repurchase of our common stock; (25) cyber attacks, security breaches, system failures, software or application vulnerabilities, or other cyber incidents; (26) labor market conditions, union disputes and other employee relations issues; (27) a decline in the liability discount rate or lower-than-expected investment returns on pension assets; and (28) the other risk factors discussed in Alcoa's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023 and other reports filed by Alcoa with the SEC. Alcoa cautions readers not to place undue reliance upon any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. Alcoa disclaims any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether in response to new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Market projections are subject to the risks described above and other risks in the market. Neither Alcoa nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of any of these forward-looking statements and none of the information contained herein should be regarded as a representation that the forward-looking statements contained herein will be achieved.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This news release contains reference to certain financial measures that are not calculated and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP). Alcoa Corporation believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures is useful to investors because such measures provide both additional information about the operating performance of Alcoa Corporation and insight on the ability of Alcoa Corporation to meet its financial obligations by adjusting the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure for the impact of, among others, "special items" as defined by the Company, non-cash items in nature, and/or nonoperating expense or income items. The presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is not intended to be a substitute for, and should not be considered in isolation from, the financial measures reported in accordance with GAAP. Certain definitions, reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and additional details regarding management's rationale for the use of the non-GAAP financial measures can be found in the schedules to this release.