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    Barclays Research Expects AI to Recast Global Supply Chains and Labor Markets

    5/1/25 10:33:00 AM ET
    $BCS
    Commercial Banks
    Finance
    Get the next $BCS alert in real time by email

    In the 70th edition of Barclays flagship Equity Gilt Study, Barclays Research analysts take stock of the AI revolution and examine the implications labor markets, energy, and global supply chains.

    In this year's edition of the Equity Gilt Study, Barclays Research analysts delve into the transformational power of AI, offering a long-term view on how AI-driven disruption and other structural forces are likely to shape the global economy in the years ahead. Beyond the technological shifts, analysts find that AI will accelerate major changes across supply chains, labor markets and the future of work.

    This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250501232734/en/

    Equity Gilt Study 2025

    Equity Gilt Study 2025

    "AI is already changing many aspects of the modern economy and financial markets and will continue to do so for years to come," says Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Global Chairman of Research. "The end result promises to be fascinating – and most likely a net positive for the world at large."

    The Geopolitics of Minerals and Minds

    Barclays Research highlights the strategic vulnerabilities created by the global reliance on a handful of countries for critical rare earth elements and skilled talent. Barclays analysts warn that this concentration threatens supply chain stability amid rising geopolitical tensions, trade disputes and climate-related shocks.

    AI and the New Skills Divide

    Drawing on eight years of data, Barclays analysts find that while AI's overall effect on employment remains modest, it is already reshaping expectations of skills and tasks, especially in higher-paid, white-collar roles. As adoption accelerates, the potential for broader macroeconomic effects continues to grow.

    AI's Market Divide

    Barclays analysts argue that the spread of AI could have far-reaching implications for investment returns, drawing parallels to past technological revolutions such as the post-WW2 revolution in durable goods, the rise of the internet in the 1990s and the data boom of the 2010s. AI could drive gains in equities, upward pressure on yields across the curve and a moderately stronger dollar.

    Deep Impact

    The sudden emergence of DeepSeek from China was a "Sputnik moment" for the US and other developed markets, galvanizing a new wave of investment in AI infrastructure. Barclays analysts believe that the capital expenditure arms race has further to run, not least due to the vast computing power needed for emerging, multi-step workloads.

    Notes to editors:

    Barclays Equity Gilt Study is a flagship annual publication that combines market-leading macro analysis with a unique multi-asset dataset spanning over 100 years. It provides uniquely rich data and commentary on long-term asset returns in the UK and US. Data for the UK goes back to 1899, while the US data, provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices at the University of Chicago, runs from 1925.

    About Barclays Investment Bank

    Our vision is to be the UK-centred leader in global finance. We are a diversified bank with comprehensive UK consumer, corporate and wealth and private banking franchises, a leading global investment bank and a strong, specialist US consumer bank. Through these five divisions, we are working together for a better financial future for our customers, clients and communities. The Investment Bank helps money managers, financial institutions, governments, supranational organisations and corporate clients manage their funding, investing, financing, and strategic and risk management needs. www.barclays.com/ib

    View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250501232734/en/

    Press Contacts:

    Claudia Gilbert-Allen

    [email protected]

    +442077732064

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