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    ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Serious delinquencies hit 17-month high while foreclosure activity remains historically muted

    11/21/24 9:00:00 AM ET
    $ICE
    Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service
    Finance
    Get the next $ICE alert in real time by email
    • At 3.45% in October, the national delinquency rate was up 6% from the same time last year, marking five consecutive months of year-over-year increases
    • While 30- & 60-day delinquencies decreased from September, seriously past due loans (90+ days) continued their slow rise, now up 7.3% from last year and at the highest level since May 2023
    • Though both foreclosure starts (+12.2%) and completions (+10.1%) were up in October, both remain down from last year (-12.3% and -9.5%, respectively) and well below pre-pandemic levels
    • Likewise, foreclosure inventory was up a modest +1K in the month, but there are 28K fewer loans in active foreclosure than there were at this same time last year
    • Prepayment activity rose on easing interest rates to a level not seen in over two years (May 2022) and nearly double where it was last October

    Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE), a leading global provider of technology and data, reports the following "first look" at October 2024 month-end mortgage performance statistics derived from its loan-level database representing the majority of the national mortgage market.

    Data as of Oct. 31, 2024

    Total U.S. loan delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure): 3.45%

    Month-over-month change: -0.79%

    Year-over-year change: 5.95%

     

     

    Total U.S. foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate: 0.35%

    Month-over-month change: 0.49%

    Year-over-year change: -14.52%

     

     

    Total U.S. foreclosure starts: 29,000

    Month-over-month change 12.15%

    Year-over-year change: -12.27%

     

     

    Monthly prepayment rate (SMM): 0.85%

    Month-over-month change: 32.25%

    Year-over-year change: 96.07%

     

     

    Foreclosure sales: 5,800

    Month-over-month change: 10.09%

    Year-over-year change: -9.45%

     

     

    Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: ​ 1,869,000

    Month-over-month change: -11,000

    Year-over-year change: 135,000

     

     

    Number of properties that are 90 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 479,000

    Month-over-month change: 4,000

    Year-over-year change: 33,000

     

     

    Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 189,000

    Month-over-month change: 1,000

    Year-over-year change: -28,000

     

     

    Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure: 2,058,000

    Month-over-month change: -10,000

    Year-over-year change: 107,000

     

     

    Top 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage

    Louisiana:

    8.15%

    Mississippi:

    8.04%

    Alabama:

    5.72%

    Indiana:

    5.41%

    Arkansas:

    5.23%

     

     

    Bottom 5 States by Non-Current* Percentage

    Oregon:

    2.14%

    Montana:

    2.06%

    Idaho:

    2.05%

    Colorado:

    2.04%

    Washington:

    2.03%

     

     

    Top 5 States by 90+ Days Delinquent Percentage

     

    Mississippi:

    2.19%

    Louisiana:

    2.09%

    Alabama:

    1.53%

    Arkansas:

    1.37%

    Texas:

    1.28%

     

    Top 5 States by 12-Month Change in Non-Current* Percentage

    Hawaii:

    -15.67%

    New York:

    -8.45%

    Alaska:

    -5.79%

    North Dakota:

    -4.85%

    Idaho:

    -4.27%

     

    Bottom 5 States by 12-Month Change in Non-Current* Percentage

    Florida:

    20.97%

    South Carolina:

    12.14%

    Arizona:

    11.02%

    North Carolina:

    10.99%

    Louisiana:

    9.26%

     

    *Non-current totals combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans in that state.

    Notes:

    1) Totals are extrapolated based on ICE's McDash loan-level database of mortgage assets.

    2) All whole numbers are rounded to the nearest thousand, except foreclosure starts and sales, which are rounded to the nearest hundred.

    The company will provide a more in-depth review of this data in its monthly Mortgage Monitor report, which includes an analysis of data supplemented by detailed charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time observations. The Mortgage Monitor report will be available online at https://www.icemortgagetechnology.com/resources/data-reports by Dec. 9, 2024.

    For more information about gaining access to ICE's loan-level database, please send an email to [email protected].

    About Intercontinental Exchange

    Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) is a Fortune 500 company that designs, builds and operates digital networks that connect people to opportunity. We provide financial technology and data services across major asset classes helping our customers access mission-critical workflow tools that increase transparency and efficiency. ICE's futures, equity, and options exchanges – including the New York Stock Exchange – and clearing houses help people invest, raise capital and manage risk. We offer some of the world's largest markets to trade and clear energy and environmental products. Our fixed income, data services and execution capabilities provide information, analytics and platforms that help our customers streamline processes and capitalize on opportunities. At ICE Mortgage Technology, we are transforming U.S. housing finance, from initial consumer engagement through loan production, closing, registration and the long-term servicing relationship. Together, ICE transforms, streamlines and automates industries to connect our customers to opportunity.

    Trademarks of ICE and/or its affiliates include Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, ICE block design, NYSE and New York Stock Exchange. Information regarding additional trademarks and intellectual property rights of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. and/or its affiliates is located here. Key Information Documents for certain products covered by the EU Packaged Retail and Insurance-based Investment Products Regulation can be accessed on the relevant exchange website under the heading "Key Information Documents (KIDS)."

    Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 – Statements in this press release regarding ICE's business that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of additional risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see ICE's Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, including, but not limited to, the risk factors in ICE's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, as filed with the SEC on February 8, 2024.

    Category: Mortgage Technology

    ICE-CORP

    Source: Intercontinental Exchange

    View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241121030243/en/

    Get the next $ICE alert in real time by email

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    Q&A

    New
    • What was the national delinquency rate in October 2024, and how does it compare to last year?

      The national delinquency rate in October was 3.45%, which is a 6% increase from last year, indicating five consecutive months of year-over-year increases.

    • What trend is observed in seriously past due loans as of October 2024?

      Seriously past due loans (90+ days) increased by 7.3% from last year, reaching the highest level since May 2023, despite a decrease in 30- and 60-day delinquencies from September.

    • How have the metrics for foreclosure starts and completions changed in October 2024 compared to the previous year?

      Foreclosure starts rose by 12.2% and foreclosure completions by 10.1% in October, but both metrics are still lower than last year by 12.3% and 9.5% respectively.

    • What changes occurred in prepayment activity in October 2024 compared to previous years?

      Prepayment activity increased significantly, reaching a monthly prepayment rate of 0.85%, which is nearly double the rate from October last year and the highest in over two years.

    • Which states reported the highest and lowest non-current rates in October 2024?

      Louisiana and Mississippi had the highest non-current percentage at 8.15% and 8.04%, while Oregon had the lowest at 2.14%.

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