Packaging Corporation of America Reports Second Quarter 2024 Results

Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE:PKG) today reported second quarter 2024 net income of $199 million, or $2.21 per share, and net income of $199 million, or $2.20 per share, excluding special items. Second quarter net sales were $2.1 billion in 2024 and $2.0 billion in 2023.

Excluding special items, the ($.11) per share decrease in second quarter 2024 earnings compared to the second quarter of 2023 was driven primarily by lower prices and mix in the Packaging segment ($.87) and Paper segment ($.07), higher operating costs ($.31), higher depreciation expense ($.03), and a higher tax rate ($.03). These items were partially offset by higher volume in the Packaging segment $.94 and Paper segment $.07, lower other converting costs $.07, lower freight and logistics expenses $.06, and lower interest expense $.06.

Results were $.13 above second quarter guidance of $2.07 per share primarily due to higher volume in the Packaging segment, lower operating and converting costs, and lower freight costs.

Financial information by segment is summarized below and in the schedules with this release.

In the Packaging segment, corrugated products shipments per day were up 9.2% over last year's second quarter and total shipments, with one additional shipping day, were up 10.9%. Containerboard production was 1,281,000 tons, and containerboard inventory was up 16,000 tons compared to the second quarter of 2023 and up 20,000 tons versus the first quarter of 2024. In the Paper segment, sales volume was up 12% compared to the second quarter of 2023 and down (8%) versus the first quarter of 2024.

Commenting on reported results, Mark W. Kowlzan, Chairman and CEO, said, "results for the quarter reflect our strong market conditions in the Packaging segment. This drove a new all-time containerboard production record in order to service corrugated products and containerboard demand which grew stronger each month, ending with a new corrugated shipments-per-day record for the month of June. We were also able to build some inventory ahead of what we expect to be a busy second half of the year. Packaging segment prices and mix moved higher from first quarter levels as we continue to implement our announced price increases. Paper segment prices and mix as well as volume came in as expected, and the scheduled outage at our International Falls mill was managed very well. Results also reflect our constant focus on minimizing inflationary cost increases through efficiency and usage initiatives and capital project benefits throughout our mills and converting facilities."

Mr. Kowlzan continued, "Looking ahead as we move from the second and into the third quarter, prices and mix in both our Packaging and Paper segments will move higher as we continue to implement previously announced increases along with higher containerboard export prices. Although there is one less shipping day for the corrugated business we expect shipments-per-day to continue to strengthen, potentially setting a new third quarter record, and higher containerboard volume. With current containerboard inventory below our target levels, we will also attempt to build some inventory ahead of the scheduled maintenance outage at our Deridder mill in October. Paper volume will be slightly lower primarily due to the timing of the back-to-school business received in the second quarter. Operating and converting costs should be higher primarily due to seasonal electricity usage and prices and slightly higher recycled fiber costs, with scheduled outage expenses expected to be slightly lower. Considering these items, we expect third quarter earnings of $2.45 per share."

We present various non-GAAP financial measures in this press release, including diluted EPS excluding special items, segment income excluding special items and EBITDA excluding special items. We provide information regarding our use of non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of historical non-GAAP financial measures presented in this press release to the most comparable measure reported in accordance with GAAP in the schedules to this press release. We present our earnings expectation for the upcoming quarter excluding special items as special items are difficult to predict and quantify and may reflect the effect of future events. We do not currently expect any significant special items during the third quarter; however, additional special items may arise due to third quarter events.

PCA is the third largest producer of containerboard products and a leading producer of uncoated freesheet paper in North America. PCA operates eight mills and 86 corrugated products plants and related facilities.

Some of the statements in this press release are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements about our future earnings and financial condition, expected benefits from acquisitions and restructuring activities, our industry and our business strategy. Statements that contain words such as "will", "should", "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "intend", "estimate", "hope" or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on the current expectations of PCA. Because forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, the plans, actions and actual results of PCA could differ materially. Among the factors that could cause plans, actions and results to differ materially from PCA's current expectations include the following: the impact of general economic conditions; conditions in the paper and packaging industries, including competition, product demand and product pricing; fluctuations in wood fiber and recycled fiber costs; fluctuations in purchased energy costs; the possibility of unplanned outages or interruptions at our principal facilities; and legislative or regulatory requirements, particularly concerning environmental matters, as well as those identified under Item 1A. Risk Factors in PCA's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, and in subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available at the SEC's website at "www.sec.gov".

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