SEC Form 6-K filed by Methanex Corporation

11/6/24 5:06:48 PM ET

$MEOH

Major Chemicals

Industrials

Get the next $MEOH alert in real time by email

6-K 1 mdafsnotes_q32024.htm 6-K Document

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 6-K

REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER

PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16

UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

FOR THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER 2024

METHANEX CORPORATION

(Registrant’s name)

SUITE 1800, 200 BURRARD STREET, VANCOUVER, BC V6C 3M1 CANADA

(Address of principal executive offices)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F ¨ Form 40-F ý

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Yes ¨ No ý

If “Yes” is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82


NEWS RELEASE			Methanex Corporation 1800 - 200 Burrard St. Vancouver, BC Canada V6C 3M1 Investor Relations: (604) 661-2600 www.methanex.com

For immediate release

November 6, 2024

Except where otherwise noted, all currency amounts are stated in United States dollars.

METHANEX REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2024 RESULTS

Financial and Production Highlights

•Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders of $31 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $216 million in the third quarter. Our average realized price in the third quarter was $356 per tonne compared to $352 per tonne in the second quarter of 2024.

•Announced the signing of a definitive agreement to acquire OCI Global's international methanol business for approximately $2.05 billion, including OCI’s interest in two world class methanol facilities in Beaumont, Texas. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2025.

•Geismar 3 ("G3") produced first methanol in July 2024 and has since passed its commercial and technical performance tests. During the third quarter, as the plant was being brought to full rates, two separate shutdowns were taken to calibrate the newly commissioned equipment to ensure reliability of plant operations at sustained full rates, which led to lower operating rates in the third quarter. G3 has been operating at full rates since early October, and in the last thirty days has produced approximately 154,000 tonnes and is running as designed at a 1.8 MMT per annum rate.

•In Chile, we agreed to extend the gas contracts with Chilean gas producer, ENAP, and Argentinean gas producer, YPF, until 2030 and 2027, respectively, on similar economic terms as the previous agreements. These two gas contracts underpin approximately 55% of the site's gas requirements. In addition, we have secured agreements to purchase gas from Argentina on a firm basis for the non-winter months (October-April) which will allow us to produce at full rates through to the end of April 2025.

•In New Zealand, operations were temporarily idled in August as we entered short-term commercial arrangements to provide available natural gas into the New Zealand electricity market until the end of October 2024 as the country’s overall energy balances were very strained. Based on the medium-term gas outlook from our gas suppliers the decision was made to restart one plant and indefinitely idle the other Motunui plant. As a result, a non-cash, non-recurring asset impairment expense of $90 million (net of tax) has been recorded in the third quarter. The site has optimized its operating and capital costs and we expect that these actions will substantially offset the adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow impact from idling one plant.

•Returned $12.5 million to shareholders through regular dividends and ended the third quarter with $511 million in cash.

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA - For the third quarter of 2024, Methanex (TSX:MX) (NASDAQ:MEOH) reported net income attributable to Methanex shareholders of $31 million ($0.35 net income per common share on a diluted basis) compared to net income of $35 million ($0.52 net income per common share on a diluted basis) in the second quarter of 2024. Net income in the third quarter of 2024 was similar compared to the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2024 was $216 million and Adjusted net income was $82 million ($1.21 Adjusted net income per common share). This compares with Adjusted EBITDA of $164 million and Adjusted net income of $42 million ($0.62 Adjusted net income per common share) for the second quarter of 2024.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER NEWS RELEASE PAGE 1

Our average realized price in the third quarter was $356 per tonne compared to $352 per tonne in the second quarter of 2024. The increase in our average realized price was driven by stable global demand, with tight market conditions in the Atlantic from supply outages and decreasing inventories and balanced market conditions in China and Asia Pacific.

In the third quarter, we returned $12.5 million to shareholders through the regular dividend. We ended the quarter with $511 million in cash, or $490 million in cash excluding non-controlling interests and including our share of cash in the Atlas joint venture.

Rich Sumner, President & CEO of Methanex, said, "I am pleased that G3 has passed its commercial and technical performance test and has been operating at full rates since early October. Looking forward to the fourth quarter we expect to see an increase in our production levels with G3 at full rates and Chile receiving full gas supply along with higher pricing as the methanol markets have further tightened. We are focused on delivering strong cash flows from our existing business to de-lever and post close, our priority will be to seamlessly integrate OCI's methanol business."

FURTHER INFORMATION

The information set forth in this news release summarizes Methanex's key financial and operational data for the third quarter of 2024. It is not a complete source of information for readers and is not in any way a substitute for reading the third quarter 2024 Management’s Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") dated November 6, 2024 and the unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the period ended September 30, 2024, both of which are available from the Investor Relations section of our website at www.methanex.com. The MD&A and the unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the period ended September 30, 2024 are also available on the Canadian Securities Administrators' SEDAR+ website at www.sedarplus.ca and on the United States Securities and Exchange Commission's EDGAR website at www.sec.gov.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER NEWS RELEASE PAGE 2

FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL DATA


	Three Months Ended			Nine Months Ended
($ millions except per share amounts and where noted)	Sep 30 2024	Jun 30 2024	Sep 30 2023	Sep 30 2024	Sep 30 2023
Production (thousands of tonnes) (attributable to Methanex shareholders) 1	1,347	1,422	1,545	4,490	4,863
Sales volume (thousands of tonnes)
Methanex-produced methanol	1,378	1,580	1,473	4,639	4,743
Purchased methanol	987	766	905	2,560	2,637
Commission sales	258	266	342	706	927
Total sales volume 1	2,623	2,612	2,720	7,905	8,307

Methanex average non-discounted posted price ($ per tonne) 2	519	499	395	496	439
Average realized price ($ per tonne) 3	356	352	303	350	337

Revenue	935	920	823	2,771	2,801
Net income (attributable to Methanex shareholders)	31	35	24	119	141
Adjusted net income 4	82	42	1	168	118
Adjusted EBITDA 4	216	164	105	540	474
Cash flows from operating activities	210	163	106	456	465

Basic net income per common share	0.46	0.52	0.36	1.77	2.07
Diluted net income per common share	0.35	0.52	0.36	1.62	2.07
Adjusted net income per common share 4	1.21	0.62	0.02	2.48	1.74

Common share information (millions of shares)
Weighted average number of common shares	67	67	67	67	68
Diluted weighted average number of common shares	68	67	67	68	68
Number of common shares outstanding, end of period	67	67	67	67	67

1 Methanex-produced methanol represents our equity share of volume produced at our facilities and excludes volume marketed on a commission basis related to the 36.9% of the Atlas facility and 50% of the Egypt facility that we do not own.

2 Methanex average non-discounted posted price represents the average of our non-discounted posted prices in North America, Europe, China and Asia Pacific weighted by sales volume. Current and historical pricing information is available at www.methanex.com.

3 The Company has used Average realized price ("ARP") throughout this document. ARP is calculated as revenue divided by the total sales volume. It is used by management to assess the realized price per unit of methanol sold, and is relevant in a cyclical commodity environment where revenue can fluctuate in response to market prices.

4 Note that Adjusted net income, Adjusted net income per common share, and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP measures and ratios that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to the Additional Information - Non-GAAP Measures section on page 15 of our third quarter MD&A dated November 6, 2024 for a description of each non-GAAP measure.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER NEWS RELEASE PAGE 3

▪A reconciliation from net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share is as follows:


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	$	31	$	35	$	24	$	119	$	141
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation	(18)		8		8		(20)		13
Gas contract settlement, net of tax	—		—		(31)		—		(31)
Depreciation and amortization	99		101		98		295		292
Finance costs	28		28		26		83		87
Finance income and other	(42)		(3)		(2)		(49)		(29)
Income tax expense (recovery)	11		5		(18)		21		16
Asset impairment charge	125		—		—		125		—
Earnings of associate adjustment	14		16		23		41		51
Non-controlling interests adjustment	(32)		(26)		(23)		(75)		(66)
Adjusted EBITDA	$	216	$	164	$	105	$	540	$	474


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions except number of shares and per share amounts)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	$	31	$	35	$	24	$	119	$	141
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, net of tax	(15)		7		6		(17)		11
Impact of Egypt gas contract revaluation, net of tax	1		—		2		1		(3)
Impact of New Zealand gas contract revaluation, net of tax	(25)		—		—		(25)		—
Gas contract settlement, net of tax	—		—		(31)		—		(31)
Asset impairment charge, net of tax	90		—		—		90		—
Adjusted net income	$	82	$	42	$	1	$	168	$	118
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding (millions)	68		67		67		68		68
Adjusted net income per common share	$	1.21	$	0.62	$	0.02	$	2.48	$	1.74

▪We recorded net income attributable to Methanex shareholders of $31 million in the third quarter of 2024 compared to net income of $35 million in the second quarter of 2024. Net income in the third quarter of 2024 was similar compared to the prior quarter as a non-recurring asset impairment charge was offset by the recognition in the quarter of gas sale net proceeds in New Zealand and the non-recurring impact of the Egypt insurance recovery. Also, lower sales of Methanex-produced methanol was offset by a higher average realized price and the impact of the mark-to-market changes in fair-value of assets and share-based compensation.

▪We sold 2,623,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 2,612,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024. Sales of Methanex-produced methanol were 1,378,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 1,580,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024.

▪Production for the third quarter of 2024 was 1,347,000 tonnes compared to 1,422,000 tonnes for the second quarter of 2024. Production was lower in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024 mainly due to lower production in New Zealand, Chile and Egypt which was partially offset by higher production in Geismar.

▪Geismar 3 ("G3") produced first methanol in July 2024 and has since passed its commercial and technical performance tests. During the third quarter, as the plant was being brought to full rates, two separate shutdowns were taken to calibrate the newly commissioned equipment to ensure reliability of plant operations at sustained full rates, which led to lower operating rates in the third quarter. G3 has been operating at full rates since early October, and in the last thirty days has produced approximately 154,000 tonnes and is running as designed at a 1.8 MMT per annum rate.

▪In the third quarter of 2024 we paid a quarterly dividend of $0.185 per common share for a total of $12.5 million.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER NEWS RELEASE PAGE 4

▪At September 30, 2024, we had a strong liquidity position including a cash balance of $511 million, or $490 million excluding non-controlling interests and including our share of cash in the Atlas joint venture. In addition, the majority of the New Zealand gas sales ($45 million) and the Egypt insurance recovery ($30 million) will be received in cash in the fourth quarter of 2024. As at the end of the third quarter, we also have undrawn revolving credit facilities of $500 million, which we subsequently extended to $600 million, to provide additional financial flexibility. The extension is subject to the closing of the OCI acquisition.

PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS


	Q3 2024		Q2 2024	Q3 2023	YTD Q3 2024	YTD Q3 2023
(thousands of tonnes)	Operating Capacity 1	Production	Production	Production	Production	Production
USA (Geismar)	1,000	605	514	574	1,690	1,555
Trinidad (Methanex interest) 2	490	262	231	287	751	791
New Zealand 3	430	72	178	226	527	1,037
Chile	425	173	229	168	793	590
Egypt (50% interest)	158	93	129	160	305	484
Canada (Medicine Hat)	150	142	141	130	424	406
	2,653	1,347	1,422	1,545	4,490	4,863

1The operating capacity of our production facilities may be higher or lower than original nameplate capacity as, over time, these figures have been adjusted to reflect ongoing operating efficiencies at these facilities. Actual production for a facility in any given year may be higher or lower than operating capacity due to a number of factors, including natural gas availability, feedstock composition, the age of the facility's catalyst, turnarounds and access to CO2 from external suppliers for certain facilities. We review and update the operating capacity of our production facilities on a regular basis based on historical performance.

2The operating capacity of Trinidad is made up of the Titan (100% interest) and Atlas (63.1% interest) facilities. The Atlas facility is currently idle. Refer to the Trinidad section below.

3The operating capacity of New Zealand is made up of the two Motunui facilities, one of which is idle. Refer to the New Zealand section below.

Key production and operational highlights during the third quarter include:

United States

Geismar produced 605,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 514,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024. Production was higher in the third quarter with the start up of the Geismar 3 plant. The plant produced first methanol at the end of July and successfully passed its commercial and technical performance test in early October. During Q3, as the plant was being brought to full rates, two separate shutdowns were taken to calibrate the newly commissioned equipment to ensure reliability of plant operations at sustained full rates, which led to lower operating rates in the third quarter. G3 has been operating at full rates since early October, and in the last thirty days has produced approximately 154,0000 tonnes and is running as designed at a 1.8 MMT per annum rate.

Trinidad

Trinidad produced 262,000 tonnes (Methanex interest) in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 231,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024. Production was higher in the third quarter compared to the second quarter due to two unplanned outages during the second quarter. In mid-September the Atlas plant (Methanex interest 63.1% or 1,085,000 tonnes per year capacity) was idled, as its legacy 20-year natural gas supply agreement expired, and the Titan plant (875,000 tonnes per year capacity) was successfully re-started, on a two-year natural gas supply agreement with the National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago (NGC).

New Zealand

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER NEWS RELEASE PAGE 5

The site has optimized its operating and capital costs and we expect that these actions will substantially offset the adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow impact from idling one plant. Future production will be dependent on gas availability and any on-selling of gas into the electricity market to support New Zealand’s energy needs. We are in continuing discussions with our gas suppliers to ensure our contractual entitlements, which are in place until 2029, are being respected as well as engaging with our gas suppliers and government agencies in supporting efforts to improve energy balances in the country. Based on production year to date and expectations for the fourth quarter, we expect 2024 production will be approximately 600,000 tonnes.

As a result of the outlook for gas supply and the idling of one of the Motunui plants, a non-cash before-tax asset impairment charge of $125 million ($90 million after-tax) was recorded to write down the carrying value of our New Zealand assets.

Chile

Chile produced 173,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 229,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024. Production was lower in the third quarter compared to the second quarter primarily due to lower seasonal gas supply from Argentina during the third quarter. Planned maintenance at Chile 1 and a turnaround at Chile 4 were successfully completed which we expect will improve efficiency and production. Based on production year to date and progress we have made securing gas from Argentina for the non-winter period this year, we expect 2024 production will be slightly above the high-end of our guidance of 1.1-1.2 million tonnes.

In Q3, we successfully agreed to extend the gas contracts with Chilean gas producer, ENAP, and Argentinean gas producer, YPF, until 2030 and 2027, respectively on similar economic terms as the previous agreements. These two gas contracts underpin approximately 55% of the sites gas requirements. In addition, we have secured agreements to purchase gas from Argentina on a firm basis for the non-winter months (October-April) which will allow us to produce at full rates through to the end of April 2025. These gas contracts are expected to allow us to continue to incrementally increase our production from Chile as natural gas development and related infrastructure investments in Argentina continue to progress which we believe will allow increased gas availability to our two plants in the coming years.

Egypt

Egypt produced 186,000 tonnes (Methanex interest - 93,000 tonnes) in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 258,000 tonnes (Methanex interest - 129,000 tonnes) in the second quarter of 2024. Production decreased compared to the second quarter due to fluctuating operating rates based on gas availability. In Egypt, industrial plants were impacted by gas curtailments due to increased seasonal demand for power generation due to elevated temperatures coupled with lower domestic supply. The plant is currently operating at full rates. There has been stabilization of gas balances in the country as temperatures have moderated but some continued limitations on supply to industrial plants are expected going forward, particularly during the summer months.

Canada

Medicine Hat produced 142,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 141,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024.

Outlook

Our expected production guidance for Q4 2024 is approximately 1.9 million tonnes (Methanex interest) which will be sold through in the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025 as produced sales normalize to the increased production. Actual production may vary by quarter based on gas availability in Chile and New Zealand, turnarounds, other gas availability, unplanned outages and unanticipated events.

In the fourth quarter, we expect similar Adjusted EBITDA compared to the third quarter, with higher produced sales and a higher average realized price offset by lower New Zealand gas sales and no contribution from Egypt insurance recovery in the fourth quarter. Based on our October and November posted prices we expect that our average realized price range will be between approximately $365 to $375 per tonne for these two months.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER NEWS RELEASE PAGE 6

CONFERENCE CALL

A conference call is scheduled for November 7, 2024 at 11:00 am ET (8:00 am PT) to review these third quarter results. To access the call, dial the conferencing operator fifteen minutes prior to the start of the call at (647) 932-3411, or toll free at (800) 715-9871. The conference ID for the call is #2019292. A simultaneous audio-only webcast of the conference call can be accessed from our website at www.methanex.com/investor-relations/events and will also be available following the call.

ABOUT METHANEX

Methanex is a Vancouver-based, publicly traded company and is the world’s largest producer and supplier of methanol to major international markets. Methanex shares are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada under the trading symbol "MX" and on the NASDAQ Global Market in the United States under the trading symbol "MEOH".

FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION WARNING

This third quarter 2024 press release contains forward-looking statements with respect to us and the chemical industry. By its nature, forward-looking information is subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond the Company's control. Readers are cautioned that undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information as actual results may vary materially from the forward-looking information. Methanex does not undertake to update, correct or revise any forward-looking information as a result of any new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. Refer to Forward-Looking Information Warning in the third quarter 2024 Management's Discussion and Analysis for more information which is available from the Investor Relations section of our website at www.methanex.com, the Canadian Securities Administrators' SEDAR+ website at www.sedarplus.ca and on the United States Securities and Exchange Commission's EDGAR website at www.sec.gov.

NON-GAAP MEASURES

The Company has used the terms Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income, and Adjusted net income per common share throughout this document. These items are non-GAAP measures and ratios that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP. These measures represent the amounts that are attributable to Methanex Corporation shareholders and are calculated by excluding the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price, the impact of the Egypt gas contract revaluation and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. Refer to Additional Information - Non-GAAP Measures on page 15 of the Company's MD&A for the period ended September 30, 2024 for reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures. Unless otherwise indicated, the financial information presented in this release is prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB").

-end-

For further information, contact:

Sarah Herriott

Director, Investor Relations

Methanex Corporation

604-661-2600

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER NEWS RELEASE PAGE 7


		Share Information Methanex Corporation’s common shares are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol MX and on the Nasdaq Global Market under the symbol MEOH. Transfer Agents & Registrars TSX Trust Company 320 Bay Street Toronto, Ontario Canada M5H 4A6 Toll free in North America: 1-800-387-0825	Investor Information All financial reports, news releases and corporate information can be accessed on our website at www.methanex.com. Contact Information Methanex Investor Relations 1800 - 200 Burrard Street Vancouver, BC Canada V6C 3M1 E-mail: [email protected] Methanex Toll-Free: 1-800-661-8851
3
	Management's Discussion and Analysis for the Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024
At November 5, 2024 the Company had 67,387,492 common shares issued and outstanding and stock options exercisable for 1,434,329 additional common shares.

THIRD QUARTER MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS ("MD&A")

Except where otherwise noted, all currency amounts are stated in United States dollars.

This Third Quarter 2024 Management’s Discussion and Analysis dated November 6, 2024 for Methanex Corporation ("the Company") should be read in conjunction with the Company’s unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the period ended September 30, 2024 as well as the 2023 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements and MD&A included in the Methanex 2023 Annual Report. Unless otherwise indicated, the financial information presented in this interim report is prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB"). The Methanex 2023 Annual Report and additional information relating to Methanex is available on our website at www.methanex.com, the Canadian Securities Administrators' SEDAR+ website at www.sedarplus.ca and on the United States Securities and Exchange Commission's EDGAR website at www.sec.gov.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 1

FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL DATA


	Three Months Ended			Nine Months Ended
($ millions except per share amounts and where noted)	Sep 30 2024	Jun 30 2024	Sep 30 2023	Sep 30 2024	Sep 30 2023
Production (thousands of tonnes) (attributable to Methanex shareholders) 1	1,347	1,422	1,545	4,490	4,863
Sales volume (thousands of tonnes)
Methanex-produced methanol	1,378	1,580	1,473	4,639	4,743
Purchased methanol	987	766	905	2,560	2,637
Commission sales	258	266	342	706	927
Total sales volume 1	2,623	2,612	2,720	7,905	8,307

Methanex average non-discounted posted price ($ per tonne) 2	519	499	395	496	439
Average realized price ($ per tonne) 3	356	352	303	350	337

Revenue	935	920	823	2,771	2,801
Net income (attributable to Methanex shareholders)	31	35	24	119	141
Adjusted net income 4	82	42	1	168	118
Adjusted EBITDA 4	216	164	105	540	474
Cash flows from operating activities	210	163	106	456	465

Basic net income per common share	0.46	0.52	0.36	1.77	2.07
Diluted net income per common share	0.35	0.52	0.36	1.62	2.07
Adjusted net income per common share 4	1.21	0.62	0.02	2.48	1.74

Common share information (millions of shares)
Weighted average number of common shares	67	67	67	67	68
Diluted weighted average number of common shares	68	67	67	68	68
Number of common shares outstanding, end of period	67	67	67	67	67

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 2

FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

▪A reconciliation from net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted net income and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share is as follows:


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions except number of shares and per share amounts)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	$	31	$	35	$	24	$	119	$	141
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, net of tax	(15)		7		6		(17)		11
Impact of Egypt gas contract revaluation, net of tax	1		—		2		1		(3)
Impact of New Zealand gas contract revaluation, net of tax	(25)		—		—		(25)		—
Gas contract settlement, net of tax	—		—		(31)		—		(31)
Asset impairment charge, net of tax	90		—		—		90		—
Adjusted net income	$	82	$	42	$	1	$	168	$	118
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding (millions)	68		67		67		68		68
Adjusted net income per common share	$	1.21	$	0.62	$	0.02	$	2.48	$	1.74

1 The Company has used the terms Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share throughout this document. These items are non-GAAP measures and ratios that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Non-GAAP Measures on page 15 of the MD&A for reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.

▪In the third quarter of 2024 we paid a quarterly dividend of $0.185 per common share for a total of $12.5 million.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 3

PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS


	Q3 2024		Q2 2024	Q3 2023	YTD Q3 2024	YTD Q3 2023
(thousands of tonnes)	Operating Capacity 1	Production	Production	Production	Production	Production
USA (Geismar)	1,000	605	514	574	1,690	1,555
Trinidad (Methanex interest) 2	490	262	231	287	751	791
New Zealand 3	430	72	178	226	527	1,037
Chile	425	173	229	168	793	590
Egypt (50% interest)	158	93	129	160	305	484
Canada (Medicine Hat)	150	142	141	130	424	406
	2,653	1,347	1,422	1,545	4,490	4,863

2The operating capacity of Trinidad is made up of the Titan (100% interest) and Atlas (63.1% interest) facilities. The Atlas facility is currently idle. Refer to the Trinidad section below.

3The operating capacity of New Zealand is made up of the two Motunui facilities, one of which is idle. Refer to the New Zealand section below.

Key production and operational highlights during the third quarter include:

United States

Trinidad

New Zealand

New Zealand produced 72,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 178,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024. Production in the third quarter was lower compared to the second quarter as operations were temporarily idled in August as we entered short-term commercial arrangements to provide contracted natural gas into the New Zealand electricity market until the end of October 2024 as the country’s overall energy balances were very strained. Based on the medium-term gas outlook from our gas suppliers for the next few years, the decision was made in September to indefinitely idle one of the two Motunui plants. The site has optimized its operating and capital costs and we expect that these actions will substantially offset the adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow impact from idling one plant. Future production will be dependent on gas availability and any on-selling of gas into the electricity market to support New Zealand’s energy needs. We are in continuing discussions with our gas suppliers to ensure our contractual entitlements, which are in place until 2029, are being respected as well as engaging with our gas suppliers and government agencies in supporting efforts to improve energy balances in the country. Based on production year to date and expectations for the fourth quarter, we expect 2024 production will be approximately 600,000 tonnes.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 4

Chile

Egypt

Canada

Medicine Hat produced 142,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 141,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2024.

Outlook

FINANCIAL RESULTS

For the third quarter of 2024, we reported net income attributable to Methanex shareholders of $31 million ($0.35 net income per common share on a diluted basis) compared to net income attributable to Methanex shareholders for the second quarter of 2024 of $35 million ($0.52 net income per common share on a diluted basis) and net income attributable to Methanex shareholders for the third quarter of 2023 of $24 million ($0.36 net income per common share on a diluted basis). Net income in the third quarter of 2024 was similar compared to the prior quarter as a non-recurring asset impairment charge was offset by the recognition in the quarter of gas sale net proceeds in New Zealand and the non-recurring impact of the Egypt insurance recovery. Also, lower sales of Methanex-produced methanol was offset by a higher average realized price and the impact of the mark-to-market changes in fair-value of assets and share-based compensation. Net income was higher compared to the third quarter of 2023 primarily due to a

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 5

higher average realized price, the New Zealand gas sale net proceeds, the New Zealand gas contract revaluation and the impact of the mark-to-market portion of share-based compensation due to changes in Methanex's share price, partially offset by the non-recurring asset impairment charge in New Zealand and lower sales of Methanex-produced methanol in the third quarter of 2024.

For the third quarter of 2024, we recorded Adjusted EBITDA of $216 million and Adjusted net income of $82 million ($1.21 Adjusted net income per common share). This compares with Adjusted EBITDA of $164 million and Adjusted net income of $42 million ($0.62 Adjusted net income per common share) for the second quarter of 2024 and Adjusted EBITDA of $105 million and Adjusted net income of $1 million ($0.02 Adjusted net income per common share) for the third quarter of 2023.

We calculate Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income by including amounts related to our equity share of the Atlas facility (63.1% interest) and by excluding the non-controlling interests' share, the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price, the impact of the Egypt and New Zealand gas contract revaluations included in finance income and other and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. Refer to Additional Information - Non-GAAP Measures on page 15 for a further discussion on how we calculate these measures. Our analysis of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes is consistent with the presentation of our consolidated statements of income and excludes amounts related to Atlas.

We review our financial results by analyzing changes in Adjusted EBITDA, mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, depreciation and amortization, gas contract settlement, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes. A summary of our consolidated statements of income is as follows:


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Consolidated statements of income:
Revenue	$	935	$	920	$	823	$	2,771	$	2,801
Cost of sales and operating expenses	(794)		(745)		(730)		(2,275)		(2,296)
New Zealand gas sale net proceeds	71		—		—		71		—
Egypt insurance recovery	59		—		—		59		—
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation	(18)		8		8		(20)		13
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to associate	29		36		47		85		106
Amounts excluded from Adjusted EBITDA attributable to non-controlling interests	(66)		(55)		(43)		(151)		(150)
Adjusted EBITDA	216		164		105		540		474

Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation	18		(8)		(8)		20		(13)
Depreciation and amortization	(99)		(101)		(98)		(295)		(292)
Gas contract settlement, net of tax	—		—		31		—		31
Finance costs	(28)		(28)		(26)		(83)		(87)
Finance income and other	42		3		2		49		29
Income tax (expense) recovery	(11)		(5)		18		(21)		(16)
Asset impairment charge	(125)		—		—		(125)		—
Earnings of associate adjustment 1	(14)		(16)		(23)		(41)		(51)
Non-controlling interests adjustment 2	32		26		23		75		66
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	$	31	$	35	$	24	$	119	$	141
Net income	$	65	$	64	$	44	$	195	$	225

1 This adjustment represents the deduction of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes associated with our 63.1% interest in the Atlas methanol facility which are excluded from adjusted EBITDA but included in net income attributable to Methanex shareholders.

2 This adjustment represents the add-back of the portion of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes associated with our non-controlling interests' share which has been deducted above but is excluded from net income attributable to Methanex shareholders.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 6

Adjusted EBITDA

Our operations consist of a single operating segment - the production and sale of methanol. We review the results of operations by analyzing changes in the components of Adjusted EBITDA. For a discussion of the definitions used in our Adjusted EBITDA analysis, refer to How We Analyze Our Business on page 19. Changes in these components - average realized price, sales volume and total cash costs - similarly impact net income attributable to Methanex shareholders. The changes in Adjusted EBITDA resulted from changes in the following:


($ millions)	Q3 2024 compared with Q2 2024		Q3 2024 compared with Q3 2023		YTD Q3 2024 compared with YTD Q3 2023
Average realized price	$	9	$	127	$	93
Sales volume	2		(1)		(14)
Geismar 3 delay costs	10		3		(25)
New Zealand gas sale proceeds, net of gas and fixed costs during idle period	63		63		63
Total cash costs	(32)		(81)		(51)
Increase in Adjusted EBITDA	$	52	$	111	$	66

Average realized price


	Three Months Ended			Nine Months Ended
($ per tonne)	Sep 30 2024	Jun 30 2024	Sep 30 2023	Sep 30 2024	Sep 30 2023
Methanex average non-discounted posted price	519	499	395	496	439
Methanex average realized price	356	352	303	350	337

Methanex’s average realized price for the third quarter of 2024 was $356 per tonne compared to $352 per tonne in the second quarter of 2024 and $303 per tonne in the third quarter of 2023, resulting in an increase of $9 million and an increase of $127 million in Adjusted EBITDA, respectively. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, our average realized price was $350 per tonne compared to $337 per tonne for the same period in 2023, increasing Adjusted EBITDA by $93 million. The increase in our average realized price was driven by stable global demand, with tight market conditions in the Atlantic from supply outages and decreasing inventories and balanced market conditions in China and Asia Pacific. Refer to the Supply/Demand Fundamentals section on page 12 of the MD&A for more information.

Sales volume

Methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume in the third quarter of 2024 was 19,000 tonnes higher than the second quarter of 2024 and 13,000 tonnes lower than the third quarter of 2023. The increase in sales volume in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024 increased Adjusted EBITDA by $2 million. The decrease in sales volume for the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $1 million. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023, methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume was 181,000 tonnes lower, decreasing Adjusted EBITDA by $14 million. Sales volume may vary quarter to quarter depending on customer requirements and inventory levels as well as the available commission sales volume.

Geismar 3 delay costs

The operating costs related to the delay in start-up of our Geismar 3 project include organizational build-up, take-or-pay obligations on utilities contracts as well as additional recognition of gas hedges. The total delay costs incurred in the third quarter of 2024 leading up to first methanol production in late July were $10 million lower compared to the second quarter of 2024 and $3 million lower compared to the third quarter of 2023 as detailed below. The total delay costs for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 were $25 million higher.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 7


	Three Months Ended			Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024	Jun 30 2024	Sep 30 2023	Sep 30 2024	Sep 30 2023
Organizational build-up and take-or-pay obligations arising from delay	3	13	6	25	16
Over-hedged gas costs	—	—	—	16	—
Total	3	13	6	41	16

Over-hedged gas costs

Due to the delayed start-up of the Geismar 3 plant, a portion of our existing natural gas hedges exceeded the expected Geismar site production requirements which resulted in an over-hedged gas cost associated with the delay of $16 million which was recorded in the first quarter of 2024 and which covered the entire period of the anticipated delay. As a result, no further over-hedged gas costs were recorded in the second or third quarter of 2024. For additional information, refer to Note 9 of the condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

New Zealand gas sale proceeds, net of gas and fixed costs

In the third quarter of 2024 we entered short-term commercial arrangements to provide available natural gas into the New Zealand electricity market until the end of October 2024 as the country’s overall energy balances were very strained. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2024 includes $63 million, net proceeds less fixed costs, for which there is no equivalent transaction in the comparative periods. This does not include the impact of lost margin on the sale of methanol that was not produced in the period and additional supply chain costs incurred. For additional information, refer to Note 10 of the condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

Total cash costs

The primary drivers of changes in our total cash costs are changes in the cost of Methanex-produced methanol and changes in the cost of methanol we purchase from others ("purchased methanol"). We supplement our production with methanol produced by others through methanol offtake contracts and purchases on the spot market to meet customer needs and to support our marketing efforts within the major global markets.

We apply the first-in, first-out method of accounting for inventories and it generally takes between 30 and 60 days to sell the methanol we produce or purchase. Accordingly, the changes in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in Methanex-produced and purchased methanol costs primarily depend on changes in methanol pricing and the timing of inventory flows.

In a rising price environment, our margins at a given price are higher than in a stable price environment as a result of timing of methanol purchases and production versus sales. Generally, the opposite applies when methanol prices are decreasing.

The changes in Adjusted EBITDA due to changes in total cash costs were due to the following:


($ millions)	Q3 2024 compared with Q2 2024		Q3 2024 compared with Q3 2023		YTD Q3 2024 compared with YTD Q3 2023
Methanex-produced methanol costs	$	(12)	$	(23)	$	17
Proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales	(24)		(7)		3
Purchased methanol costs	1		(46)		(31)
Logistics costs	(9)		(9)		(31)
Egypt insurance recovery	30		30		30
Other, net	(18)		(26)		(39)
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA due to changes in total cash costs	$	(32)	$	(81)	$	(51)

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 8

Methanex-produced methanol costs

Natural gas is the primary feedstock at our methanol facilities and is the most significant component of Methanex-produced methanol costs. We purchase natural gas for more than half of our production under agreements where the unique terms of each contract include a base price and a variable price component linked to methanol price to reduce our commodity price risk exposure. The variable price component is adjusted by a formula linked to methanol sales prices above a certain level. We also purchase natural gas in North America and are exposed to natural gas spot price fluctuations for the unhedged portion of our gas needs in the region.

For the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024, higher Methanex-produced methanol costs decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $12 million. For the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, higher Methanex-produced methanol costs decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $23 million. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared with the same period in 2023, lower Methanex-produced methanol costs increased Adjusted EBITDA by $17 million. Changes in Methanex-produced methanol costs for all periods presented are primarily due to the impact of changes in realized methanol prices on the variable portion of our natural gas cost, changes in spot gas prices which impact the unhedged portion of our North American operations, timing of inventory flows and changes in the mix of production sold from inventory.

Proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales

The cost of purchased methanol is linked to the selling price for methanol at the time of purchase and the cost of purchased methanol is generally higher than the cost of Methanex-produced methanol. Accordingly, an increase (decrease) in the proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales results in a decrease (increase) in our overall cost structure for a given period. For the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024 and the third quarter of 2023, a lower proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $24 million and $7 million, respectively. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared with the same period in 2023, a higher proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales increased Adjusted EBITDA by $3 million.

Purchased methanol costs

Changes in purchased methanol costs for all periods presented are primarily a result of changes in methanol pricing and the timing of purchases sold from inventory, as well as the volume and regional mix of sourcing for purchased methanol. For the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024, the impact of lower purchased methanol costs increased Adjusted EBITDA by $1 million. For the third quarter of 2024 compared to the third quarter of 2023, the impact of higher purchased methanol costs decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $46 million. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared with the same period in 2023, higher purchased methanol costs decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $31 million.

Logistics costs

Logistics costs include the cost of transportation, storage and handling of product, and can vary from period to period primarily depending on the levels of production from each of our production facilities, the resulting impact on our supply chain, and variability in bunker fuel costs. Logistics costs for the third quarter of 2024, compared with the second quarter of 2024, decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $9 million and for the third quarter of 2024 compared to the third quarter of 2023, decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $9 million, primarily due to lower volume and lower contribution from backhaul ocean freight journeys earned from third parties. Logistics costs for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 were $31 million higher compared to the same period in 2023. Changes in logistics costs are impacted by the mix of production from various plants and the impact on ocean freight of longer supply routes. Higher logistics costs for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 were due to the mix of production from various plants, unplanned outages, and the impact on ocean freight of longer supply routes.

Egypt insurance recovery
We experienced an outage at the Egypt plant from October 2023 to February 2024. The insurance recovery of $30 million (Methanex share) was recognized in the third quarter of 2024 which partially offsets repair costs charged to earnings and lost margins incurred in the fourth quarter of 2023 and first quarter of 2024. For additional information, refer to Note 11 of the condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

Other, net

Other, net relates to unabsorbed fixed costs, selling, general and administrative expenses and other operational items. Other costs decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $18 million during the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024 and decreased

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 9

Adjusted EBITDA by $26 million compared to the third quarter of 2023. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared with the same period in 2023, other costs decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $39 million. The increase in other costs is primarily driven by transaction costs to acquire OCI Global's methanol business and by the decrease in production in the quarter, which caused higher unabsorbed costs to be recorded in the third quarter of 2024. Additionally, the decision to indefinitely idle one of the plants in New Zealand led to restructuring costs of $4 million in the third quarter of 2024, for which there is no equivalent transaction in the comparative periods.

Mark-to-Market Impact of Share-based Compensation

We grant share-based awards as an element of compensation. Share-based awards granted include stock options, share appreciation rights, tandem share appreciation rights, deferred share units, restricted share units and performance share units. For all share-based awards, share-based compensation is recognized over the related vesting period for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. Share-based compensation includes an amount related to the grant-date value and a mark-to-market impact as a result of subsequent changes in the fair value of the share-based awards primarily driven by the Company’s share price. The grant-date value amount is included in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income. The mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income and analyzed separately.


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions except share price)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Methanex Corporation share price 1	$	41.34	$	48.26	$	45.05	$	41.34	$	45.05
Grant-date fair value expense included in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income	4		7		4		17		15
Mark-to-market impact 2	(18)		8		8		(20)		13
Total share-based compensation expense (recovery), before tax	$	(14)	$	15	$	12	$	(3)	$	28

1 US dollar share price of Methanex Corporation as quoted on the NASDAQ Global Market on the last trading day of the respective period.

2For all periods presented, the mark-to-market impact on share-based compensation is primarily due to changes in the Methanex Corporation share price.

Depreciation and Amortization

Depreciation and amortization was $99 million for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $101 million for the second quarter of 2024 and $98 million for the third quarter of 2023. Compared to the second quarter of 2024, depreciation and amortization in the third quarter of 2024 was lower due to lower produced product sales in the quarter. Depreciation and amortization for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 was $295 million compared to $292 million in the same period in 2023.

Finance Costs


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Finance costs before capitalized interest	$	44	$	44	$	41	$	132	$	127
Less capitalized interest	(16)		(16)		(15)		(49)		(40)
Finance costs	$	28	$	28	$	26	$	83	$	87

Finance costs are primarily comprised of interest on borrowings and lease obligations.

Finance costs were comparable for all periods presented. Refer to the Liquidity and Capital Resources section on page 13.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 10

Finance Income and Other


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Finance income and other before gas supply contract mark-to-market impact	$	9	$	3	$	7	$	16	$	22
New Zealand gas contract mark-to-market impact	35		$	—	—		35		—
Egypt gas supply contract mark-to-market impact	(2)		$	—	(5)		(2)		7
Finance income and other	$	42	$	3	$	2	$	49	$	29

Starting in the third quarter of 2024, finance income and other includes the mark-to-market impact of the New Zealand gas supply contract derivative. Finance income and other was higher during the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024 and the third quarter of 2023 primarily due to the mark-to-market impact on the New Zealand gas supply contract and an increase in interest income. Refer to Note 9 and Note 10 of the third quarter 2024 condensed consolidated interim financial statements for more information.

Income Taxes

A summary of our income taxes for the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024 and the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 is as follows:


	Three Months Ended September 30, 2024						Three Months Ended June 30, 2024
($ millions except where noted)	Per consolidated statement of income			Adjusted 1, 2			Per consolidated statement of income			Adjusted 1, 2
Net income before income tax	$	76		$	116		$	69		$	55
Income tax expense	(11)			(34)			(5)			(13)
Net income after income tax	$	65		$	82		$	64		$	42
Effective tax rate	14		%	29		%	7		%	24		%


	Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024						Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023
($ millions except where noted)	Per consolidated statement of income			Adjusted 1, 2			Per consolidated statement of income			Adjusted 1, 2
Net income before income tax	$	216		$	226		$	241		$	156
Income tax expense	(21)			(58)			(16)			(38)
Net income after income tax	$	195		$	168		$	225		$	118
Effective tax rate	10		%	26		%	7		%	24		%

1 Adjusted effective tax rate is a non-GAAP ratio and is calculated as adjusted income tax expense or recovery, divided by adjusted net income before tax.

2 Adjusted net income before income tax and Adjusted income tax expense are non-GAAP measures. Adjusted effective tax rate is a non-GAAP ratio. These do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Management uses these to assess the effective tax rate. These measures and ratios are useful as they are a better measure of our underlying tax rate across the jurisdictions in which we operate.

We earn the majority of our income in the United States, New Zealand, Trinidad, Chile, Egypt and Canada. Including applicable withholding taxes, the statutory tax rate applicable to Methanex in the United States is 22%, New Zealand is 28%, Trinidad is 38%, Chile is 35%, Egypt is 30% and Canada is 24.5%. We accrue for withholding taxes that will be incurred upon distributions from our subsidiaries when it is probable that the earnings will be repatriated. As the Atlas entity is accounted for using the equity method, any income taxes related to Atlas are included in earnings of associate and therefore excluded from total income taxes but included in the calculation of Adjusted net income.

The effective tax rate based on Adjusted net income was 29% for the third quarter of 2024 and 24% for the second quarter of 2024. Adjusted net income represents the amount that is attributable to Methanex shareholders and excludes the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. The effective tax rate differs

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 11

from period to period depending on the source of earnings and the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations against the United States dollar.

The following table shows a reconciliation of Adjusted net income before tax and Adjusted income tax to Net income and Income taxes, the most directly comparable measures in the financial statements. For more information, refer to the Additional Information - Non-GAAP Measures section on page 15.


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Net income	$	65	$	44	$	195	$	225
Adjusted for:
Income tax expense (recovery)	11		(18)		21		16
Earnings from associate	(14)		(55)		(44)		(85)
Share of associate's income before tax	22		86		63		131
Net income before tax of non-controlling interests	(41)		(22)		(80)		(93)
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation	(18)		8		(20)		13
Impact of Egypt gas contract revaluation	1		2		1		(4)
Impact of New Zealand gas contract revaluation	(35)		—		(35)		—
Asset impairment charge	125		—		125		—
Gas contract settlement	—		(47)		—		(47)

Adjusted net income (loss) before tax	$	116	$	(2)	$	226	$	156

Income tax (expense) recovery	$	(11)	$	18	$	(21)	$	(16)
Adjusted for:
Inclusion of our share of associate's adjusted tax expense	(8)		(15)		(19)		(30)
Removal of non-controlling interest's share of tax expense	7		2		4		9
Tax on mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation	3		(2)		3		(2)
Tax on impact of Egypt gas contract revaluation	—		—		—		1
Tax on impact of New Zealand gas contract revaluation	10		—		10		—
Tax on asset impairment charge	(35)		—		(35)		—

Adjusted income tax (expense) recovery	$	(34)	$	3	$	(58)	$	(38)

SUPPLY/DEMAND FUNDAMENTALS

Demand

Global methanol demand was stable in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the second quarter of 2024. Overall demand for traditional chemical applications was relatively flat with seasonally higher demand into energy applications and slightly lower demand from methanol-to-olefins (MTO) in China. MTO demand was lower during the first half of the quarter due to seasonal maintenance, methanol supply shortages and resulting challenged economics. Operating rates increased in the second half of the quarter with improved methanol supply availability and economics.

Over the long term, we believe that traditional chemical demand for methanol is influenced by the strength of global and regional economies and industrial production levels. We believe that demand for energy-related applications will be influenced by energy prices, pricing of end products, and government policies that are playing an increasing role in encouraging new applications for methanol due to its emissions benefits as a fuel. The demand outlook for methanol as a marine fuel continues to grow. Based on current dual-fueled vessels operating coupled with the order book for new builds and retrofits, we expect there will be over 300 ships capable of running on methanol on the water in the next five years. Actual methanol consumption from marine applications will depend on regulations, relative economics versus other fuels, and other factors. The future operating rates and methanol consumption from MTO producers will depend on a number of factors including the pricing for their various final products, the

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 12

degree of downstream integration of these units with other products, the impact of olefin industry feedstock costs, including naphtha, on relative competitiveness and plant maintenance schedules.

Supply

Throughout the third quarter, supply in the Atlantic basin gradually tightened with feedstock constraints and plant outages which led

to a drawdown of inventories and improving prices in the Atlantic. In Asia Pacific and China, the market remained balanced which

led to stable pricing through the quarter.

We expect limited capacity additions in the next five years. In North America, our new 1.8 million tonne Geismar 3 facility successfully produced first methanol in late July and is now operating at full rates. With the shutdown of Atlas and the restart of Titan in September 2024 the overall production in Trinidad is lower by approximately 1 million tonnes annually. In Malaysia, a 1.8 million tonne plant announced it will be starting in 2024. In Iran, projects under development are showing slow progress due to technical and financing challenges from sanctions and the operating rates of existing methanol plants are constrained by gas availability due to depleting gas fields. China has planned capacity additions which we expect will be somewhat offset by the closure of some inefficient older plants. New capacity built in China is expected to be consumed domestically as China requires methanol imports to meet growing demand.

Methanol Price

Our average realized price in the third quarter of 2024 was $356 per tonne compared to $352 per tonne in the second quarter of 2024.

Future methanol prices will depend on the strength of the global economy, industry operating rates, global energy prices, new supply additions and the strength of global demand.

The following table outlines our recent regional non-discounted posted prices. Methanol is a global commodity and future methanol prices are directly impacted by changes in methanol supply and demand. Based on the diversity of end products in which methanol is used, demand for methanol is driven by a number of factors including: strength of global and regional economies, industrial production levels, energy and derivatives prices, pricing of end products and government regulations and policies. Methanol industry supply is impacted by the cost and availability of feedstock, methanol industry operating rates and new methanol industry capacity additions.


Methanex Non-Discounted Regional Posted Prices 1
(US$ per tonne)	Nov 2024	Oct 2024	Sep 2024	Aug 2024	Jul 2024
North America	785	738	722	695	679
Europe 2	625	625	579	579	579
Asia Pacific	400	400	400	400	410
China	380	380	380	380	380

1 Discounts from our posted prices are offered to customers based on various factors.

2 €570 for Q4 2024 (Q3 2024 – €535) converted to United States dollars.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

We operate in a highly competitive commodity industry and are committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility. At September 30, 2024, our cash balance was $511 million, or $490 million excluding non-controlling interest portion of $43 million but including our share of cash held by the Atlas joint venture of $22 million. In addition, the majority of the New Zealand gas sales ($45 million) and the Egypt insurance recovery ($30 million) will be received in cash in the fourth quarter of 2024. We invest our cash only in highly rated instruments that have maturities of three months or less to ensure preservation of capital and appropriate liquidity. We continuously evaluate the liquidity requirements needed to achieve our strategic objectives, including our capital expenditures.

The Company has access to a $500 million committed revolving credit facility, which is with a syndicate of highly rated financial institutions. In late October, to support the acquisition of OCI Global’s international methanol business (“OCI Acquisition”), the Company renewed the $500 million revolving credit facility and increased it to $600 million, and a term loan commitment of $650 million was added. Both are subject to the closing of the OCI Acquisition. As a result of the successful syndication of the $650 million term loan commitment, the commitment under a 364-day bridge facility that was syndicated in early October was reduced to $525 million.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 13

We have a $300 million bond due in December 2024 which we plan to repay rather than re-finance. The OCI Acquisition financing has been structured to allow the flexible repayment of the term loan commitment to support our capital allocation priority to de-lever.

A summary of our sources and uses of cash for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to the same periods in 2023, is as follows:


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Variance		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Variance
Cash provided by operating activities	$	210	$	106	$	104	$	456	$	465	$	(9)
Cash used in financing activities	(86)		(73)		(13)		(300)		(386)		86
Cash used in investing activities	(39)		(151)		112		(103)		(408)		305
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents	$	85	$	(118)	$	203	$	53	$	(329)	$	382

Cash flows from operating activities in the third quarter of 2024 were $210 million compared to $106 million for the third quarter of 2023. Cash flows from operating activities were higher in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the third quarter of 2023 primarily due to higher earnings, partially offset by changes in working capital that were primarily driven by the proceeds recognized from the New Zealand gas sale and the Egypt insurance recovery.

Cash flows used in financing activities in the third quarter of 2024 were $86 million compared to $73 million for the third quarter of 2023.

In the third quarter of 2024 we paid a quarterly dividend of $0.185 per common share for a total of $12.5 million.

Cash used in investing activities relates to capital spend on maintenance and major projects and a repayment of long-term loan receivable from Atlas. For more information on our capital projects, please see Capital Projects and Growth Opportunities below.

Capital Projects and Growth Opportunities

The Geismar 3 ("G3") plant successfully produced first methanol in late July with the capital totaling slightly less than $1.30 billion, excluding fixed costs related to the delay.

Our planned operational capital expenditure directed towards maintenance, turnarounds, and catalyst changes, including our 63.1% share of Atlas and 50% of Egypt, is currently estimated to be approximately $100 million for 2024.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

The Company reviews the carrying value of long-lived assets for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount may not be recoverable. The Company decided to restructure its New Zealand operations to a single plant operation in September 2024 due to a forecasted decline in New Zealand’s gas profile. The restructuring and shift to a one plant operation has been identified as an impairment indicator for the New Zealand cash generating unit ("New Zealand CGU") and the carrying value of the New Zealand CGU was tested for impairment at September 30, 2024.

The recoverable amount of the New Zealand CGU was based on fair value less costs of disposal, estimated using discounted cash flows. The model contains significant unobservable inputs and as a result is classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. Impairment was measured by comparing the carrying value of the New Zealand CGU to estimated fair value, discounted at a rate of 9%.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 14

supply under these contracts and supplemental natural gas sources. Other assumptions included in the Company’s estimate of future cash flows include the estimated cost incurred to maintain the facilities, estimates of transportation costs and other variable costs incurred in producing methanol in each period. The values assigned to the key assumptions represent management's assessment of future trends and have been based on historical data from both external and internal sources.

Based on the test performed, the Company recorded a non-cash before-tax asset impairment charge of $125 million ($90 million after-tax) in property, plant and equipment to write down the carrying value of the New Zealand CGU at September 30, 2024.

The following table presents the Level 3 inputs and the sensitivities of the fair value less costs of disposal model to changes in these inputs:


	Sensitivities
Valuation input	Input value or range	Change in input	Resulting change in valuation
Methanol price forecast	$317 - $365 per MT	+/- $25 per MT	$+24/-27 million
Volume of natural gas	Annual estimates based on third party forecasts	+/-10%	$+19/-21 million
Discount rate (after-tax)	9%	+/- 1%	$+/-2 million

The sensitivity has been prepared considering each variable independently. It is possible that the assumptions used in establishing fair value amounts will differ from future outcomes and the impact of such variations could be material.

CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

During the third quarter of 2024, no changes were made in our internal controls over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION – NON-GAAP MEASURES

In addition to providing measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, we present certain additional non-GAAP measures and ratios throughout this document. These are Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income, Adjusted net income per common share, Adjusted net income before income tax, Adjusted income tax expense, and Adjusted effective tax rate. These non-GAAP financial measures and ratios reflect our 63.1% economic interest in the Atlas Facility, our 50% economic interest in the Egypt Facility and our 60% economic interest in Waterfront Shipping, and are useful as they are a better measure of our underlying performance, and assist in assessing the operating performance of the Company's business. These measures, at our share of our facilities, are a better measure of our underlying performance, as we fully run the operations on our partners' behalf, despite having less than full share of the economic interest. Adjusted EBITDA is also frequently used by securities analysts and investors when comparing our results with those of other companies. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. These supplemental non-GAAP measures and ratios are provided to assist readers in determining our ability to generate cash from operations and improve the comparability of our results from one period to another.

These measures should be considered in addition to, and not as a substitute for, net income and revenue reported in accordance with IFRS.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 15

Adjusted EBITDA

Adjusted EBITDA differs from the most comparable GAAP measure, net income attributable to Methanex shareholders, because it excludes the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, depreciation and amortization, gas contract settlement, finance costs, finance income and other, income taxes and asset impairment charge. Adjusted EBITDA includes an amount representing our 63.1% share of the Atlas facility and excludes the non-controlling shareholders' interests in entities which we control but do not fully own.

Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income exclude the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation related to the impact of changes in our share price on SARs, TSARs, deferred share units, restricted share units and performance share units. The mark-to-market impact related to share-based compensation that is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income is calculated as the difference between the grant-date value and the fair value recorded at each period-end. As share-based awards will be settled in future periods, the ultimate value of the units is unknown at the date of grant and therefore the grant-date value recognized in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income may differ from the total settlement cost.

The following table shows a reconciliation from net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted EBITDA:


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	$	31	$	35	$	24	$	119	$	141
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation	(18)		8		8		(20)		13
Gas contract settlement, net of tax	—		—		(31)		—		(31)
Depreciation and amortization	99		101		98		295		292
Finance costs	28		28		26		83		87
Finance income and other	(42)		(3)		(2)		(49)		(29)
Income tax expense (recovery)	11		5		(18)		21		16
Asset impairment charge	125		—		—		125		—
Earnings of associate adjustment 1	14		16		23		41		51
Non-controlling interests adjustment 2	(32)		(26)		(23)		(75)		(66)
Adjusted EBITDA	$	216	$	164	$	105	$	540	$	474

1 This adjustment represents the add-back of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes associated with our 63.1% interest in the Atlas methanol facility which are included in net income attributable to Methanex shareholders but excluded from Adjusted EBITDA.

2 This adjustment represents the deduction of the portion of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes associated with our non-controlling interests' share which has been added back above but is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 16

Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per Common Share

Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share are a non-GAAP measure and a non-GAAP ratio, respectively, because they exclude the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, the impact of the Egypt and New Zealand gas contract revaluations included in finance income and other and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. The following table shows a reconciliation of net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted net income and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share:


	Three Months Ended						Nine Months Ended
($ millions except number of shares and per share amounts)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	$	31	$	35	$	24	$	119	$	141
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, net of tax	(15)		7		6		(17)		11
Impact of Egypt gas contract revaluation, net of tax	1		—		2		1		(3)
Impact of New Zealand gas contract revaluation, net of tax	(25)		—		—		(25)		—
Gas contract settlement, net of tax	—		—		(31)		—		(31)
Asset impairment charge, net of tax	90		—		—		90		—
Adjusted net income	$	82	$	42	$	1	$	168	$	118
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding (millions)	68		67		67		68		68
Adjusted net income per common share	$	1.21	$	0.62	$	0.02	$	2.48	$	1.74

Management uses these measures to analyze net income and net income per common share after adjusting for our economic interest in the Atlas and Egypt facilities and Waterfront Shipping, for reasons as described above. The exclusion of the mark-to-market portion of the impact of share-based compensation is due to these amounts not being seen as indicative of operational performance and can fluctuate in the intervening periods until settlement. The exclusion of the impact of the Egypt and New Zealand gas contract revaluations is due to the change in the derivative being unrealized with the fair value of the derivative expected to fluctuate in the intervening periods until settlement.

QUARTERLY FINANCIAL DATA (UNAUDITED)

Our operations consist of a single operating segment - the production and sale of methanol. Quarterly results vary due to the average realized price of methanol, sales volume and total cash costs. A summary of selected financial information is as follows:


	Three Months Ended
($ millions except per share amounts)	Sep 30 2024		Jun 30 2024		Mar 31 2024		Dec 31 2023
Revenue	$	935	$	920	$	916	$	922
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	31		35		53		33
Basic net income per common share	0.46		0.52		0.78		0.50
Diluted net income per common share	0.35		0.52		0.77		0.50
Adjusted EBITDA	216		164		160		148
Adjusted net income	82		42		44		35
Adjusted net income per common share	1.21		0.62		0.65		0.52


	Three Months Ended
($ millions except per share amounts)	Sep 30 2023		Jun 30 2023		Mar 31 2023		Dec 31 2022
Revenue	$	823	$	939	$	1,038	$	986
Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders	24		57		60		41
Basic net income per common share	0.36		0.84		0.87		0.59
Diluted net income per common share	0.36		0.73		0.87		0.59
Adjusted EBITDA	105		160		209		160
Adjusted net income	1		41		76		51
Adjusted net income per common share	0.02		0.60		1.11		0.73

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 17

Methanex Corporation

Quarterly History (unaudited)


	2024	Q3	Q2	Q1	2023	Q4	Q3	Q2	Q1

METHANOL SALES VOLUME
(thousands of tonnes)

Methanex-produced 1	4,639	1,378	1,580	1,681	6,455	1,712	1,473	1,621	1649
Purchased methanol	2,560	987	766	807	3,527	890	905	884	848
Commission sales 1	706	258	266	182	1,187	260	342	277	308
	7,905	2,623	2,612	2,670	11,169	2,862	2,720	2,782	2,805
METHANOL PRODUCTION
(thousands of tonnes)

New Zealand	527	72	178	277	1,381	344	226	408	403
USA (Geismar)	1,690	605	514	571	2,142	587	574	532	449
Trinidad (63.1% interest)	751	262	231	258	1,074	283	287	248	256
Egypt (50% interest)	305	93	129	83	504	20	160	163	161
Canada (Medicine Hat)	424	142	141	141	548	142	130	134	142
Chile	793	173	229	391	993	403	168	173	249
	4,490	1,347	1,422	1,721	6,642	1,779	1,545	1,658	1,660
AVERAGE REALIZED METHANOL PRICE 2
($/tonne)	350	356	352	343	333	322	303	338	371
($/gallon)	1.05	1.07	1.06	1.03	1.00	0.97	0.91	1.02	1.12

ADJUSTED EBITDA	540	216	164	160	622	148	105	160	209

PER SHARE INFORMATION ($ per common share attributable to Methanex shareholders)
Basic net income	1.77	0.46	0.52	0.78	2.57	0.50	0.36	0.84	0.87
Diluted net income	1.62	0.35	0.52	0.77	2.57	0.50	0.36	0.73	0.87
Adjusted net income	2.48	1.21	0.62	0.65	2.25	0.52	0.02	0.60	1.11

2 Average realized price is calculated as revenue divided by the total sales volume.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 18

HOW WE ANALYZE OUR BUSINESS

Our operations consist of a single operating segment - the production and sale of methanol. We review our financial results by analyzing changes in the components of Adjusted EBITDA, mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes.

The Company has used the terms Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share throughout this document. These items are non-GAAP measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to the Additional Information - Non-GAAP Measures section on page 15 for a description of each non-GAAP measure and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.

In addition to the methanol that we produce at our facilities, we also purchase and re-sell methanol produced by others and we sell methanol on a commission basis. We analyze the results of all methanol sales together, excluding commission sales volume. The key drivers of changes in Adjusted EBITDA are average realized price, cash costs and sales volume, which are defined and calculated as follows:


PRICE			The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in average realized price is calculated as the difference from period to period in the selling price of methanol multiplied by the current period total methanol sales volume, excluding commission sales volume.
CASH COSTS			The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in cash costs is calculated as the difference from period to period in cash costs per tonne multiplied by the current period total methanol sales volume, excluding commission sales volume in the current period. The cash costs per tonne is the weighted average of the cash cost per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol and the cash cost per tonne of purchased methanol. The cash cost per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol includes absorbed fixed cash costs per tonne and variable cash costs per tonne. The cash cost per tonne of purchased methanol consists principally of the cost of methanol itself. In addition, the change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in cash costs includes the changes from period to period in unabsorbed fixed production costs, consolidated selling, general and administrative expenses and fixed storage and handling costs.
SALES VOLUME			The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in sales volume is calculated as the difference from period to period in total methanol sales volume, excluding commission sales volume, multiplied by the margin per tonne for the prior period. The margin per tonne for the prior period is the weighted average margin per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol and margin per tonne of purchased methanol. The margin per tonne for Methanex-produced methanol is calculated as the selling price per tonne of methanol less absorbed fixed cash costs per tonne and variable cash costs per tonne. The margin per tonne for purchased methanol is calculated as the selling price per tonne of methanol less the cost of purchased methanol per tonne.

We own 63.1% of the Atlas methanol facility and market the remaining 36.9% of its production through a commission offtake agreement. A contractual agreement between us and our partners establishes joint control over Atlas. As a result, we account for this investment using the equity method of accounting, which results in 63.1% of the net assets and net earnings of Atlas being presented separately in the consolidated statements of financial position and consolidated statements of income, respectively. For purposes of analyzing our business, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share include an amount representing our 63.1% equity share in Atlas. Our analysis of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other and income taxes is consistent with the presentation of our consolidated statements of income and excludes amounts related to Atlas.

We own 50% of the 1.26 million tonne per year Egypt methanol facility and market the remaining 50% of its production through a commission offtake agreement. We own 60% of Waterfront Shipping, which provides service to Methanex for the ocean freight component of our distribution and logistics costs. We consolidate both Egypt and Waterfront Shipping, which results in 100% of the financial results being included in our financial statements. Non-controlling interests are included in the Company’s consolidated financial statements and represent the non-controlling shareholders’ interests in the Egypt methanol facility and Waterfront Shipping. For purposes of analyzing our business, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share exclude the amounts associated with non-controlling interests.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 19

FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION WARNING

This Third Quarter 2024 Management’s Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") as well as comments made during the Third Quarter 2024 investor conference call contain forward-looking statements with respect to us and our industry. These statements relate to future events or our future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "believes," "expects," "may," "will," "should," "potential," "estimates," "anticipates," "aim," "goal," "targets," "plan," "predict" or other comparable terminology and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.

More particularly and without limitation, any statements regarding the following are forward-looking statements:

•anticipated closing date of the acquisition of OCI Global's methanol business ("Acquisition") and the expected benefits of the Acquisition, including benefits related to expected synergies and commodity diversification,

•anticipated synergies and Methanex's ability to achieve such synergies following closing of the Acquisition,

•whether the Acquisition will include OCI Global's 50% share of the Natgasoline plant,

•expected demand for methanol, including demand for methanol for energy uses, and its derivatives,

•expected new methanol supply or restart of idled capacity and timing for start up of the same,

•expected increase in methanol production of assets to be acquired as part of the Acquisition,

•expected shutdowns (either temporary or permanent) or restarts of existing methanol supply (including our own facilities), including, without limitation, the timing and length of planned maintenance outages,

•expected methanol and energy prices,

•expected levels of methanol purchases from traders or other third parties,

•expected levels, timing and availability of economically priced natural gas supply to each of our plants,

•capital committed by third parties towards future natural gas exploration and development in the vicinity of our plants,

•our expected capital expenditures and anticipated timing and rate of return of such capital expenditures,

•anticipated operating rates of our plants,

•expected operating costs, including natural gas feedstock costs and logistics costs,

•expected tax rates or resolutions to tax disputes,

•expected cash flows, cash balances, earnings capability, debt levels, debt reduction and deleveraging plans, and share price,

•availability of committed credit facilities and other financing,

•our ability to meet covenants associated with our long-term debt obligations,

•our shareholder distribution strategy and anticipated distributions to shareholders,

•commercial viability and timing of, or our ability to execute future projects, plant restarts, capacity expansions, plant relocations or other business initiatives or opportunities,

•our financial strength and ability to meet future financial commitments,

•expected global or regional economic activity (including industrial production levels) and gross domestic product growth,

•expected outcomes of litigation or other disputes, claims and assessments, and

•expected actions of governments, governmental agencies, gas suppliers, courts, tribunals or other third parties.

We believe that we have a reasonable basis for making such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this document are based on our experience, our perception of trends, current conditions and expected future developments as well as other factors. Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts or projections that are included in these forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, future expectations and assumptions concerning the following:

•future expectations and assumptions concerning the receipt of all regulatory approvals required to complete the Acquisition,

•Methanex's ability to realize the expected strategic, financial and other benefits of the Acquisition in the timeframe anticipated or at all,

•the outcome of the ongoing legal proceeding with respect to certain shareholder rights in respect of OCI Global's Natgasoline plant,

•the supply of, demand for and price of methanol, methanol derivatives, natural gas, coal, oil and oil derivatives,

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 20

•our ability to procure natural gas feedstock on commercially acceptable terms,

•operating rates of our facilities,

•receipt or issuance of third-party consents or approvals or governmental approvals related to rights to purchase natural gas,

•the establishment of new fuel standards,

•operating costs, including natural gas feedstock and logistics costs, capital costs, tax rates, cash flows, foreign exchange rates and interest rates,

•the availability of committed credit facilities and other financing,

•our ability to sustain the designed operating rates of the Geismar 3 plant,

•global and regional economic activity (including industrial production levels) and gross domestic product growth,

•absence of a material negative impact from major natural disasters,

•absence of a material negative impact from changes in laws or regulations,

•absence of a material negative impact from political instability in the countries in which we operate, and

•enforcement of contractual arrangements and ability to perform contractual obligations by customers, natural gas and other suppliers and other third parties.

However, forward-looking statements, by their nature, involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties primarily include those attendant with producing and marketing methanol and successfully carrying out major capital expenditure projects in various jurisdictions, including, without limitation:

•failure to complete the Acquisition in accordance with the material terms of the Acquisition agreement or at all,

•failure to obtain any of the approvals required for the Acquisition,

•failure to acquire OCI Global's 50% joint venture interest in Natgasoline,

•failure to close the Acquisition credit facility,

•unforeseen difficulties in integrating the business operations or assets purchased pursuant to the Acquisition into our business and operations,

•failure to realize the expected strategic, financial and other benefits of the Acquisition in the timeframe anticipated or at all,

•unexpected costs or liabilities associated with the Acquisition,

•increased litigation or negative public perception as a result of the Acquisition,

•increased indebtedness of Methanex,

•conditions in the methanol and other industries, including fluctuations in the supply, demand and price for methanol and its derivatives, including demand for methanol for energy uses,

•the price of natural gas, coal, oil and oil derivatives,

•our ability to obtain natural gas feedstock on commercially acceptable terms to underpin current operations and future production growth opportunities,

•the ability to carry out corporate initiatives and strategies,

•actions of competitors, suppliers and financial institutions,

•conditions within the natural gas delivery systems that may prevent delivery of our natural gas supply requirements,

•competing demand for natural gas, especially with respect to any domestic needs for gas and electricity,

•actions of governments and governmental authorities, including, without limitation, implementation of policies or other measures that could impact the supply of or demand for methanol or its derivatives,

•changes in laws or regulations,

•import or export restrictions, anti-dumping measures, increases in duties, taxes and government royalties and other actions by governments that may adversely affect our operations or existing contractual arrangements,

•world-wide economic conditions, and

•other risks described in our 2023 Annual Management’s Discussion and Analysis and this Third Quarter 2024 Management’s Discussion and Analysis.

Having in mind these and other factors, investors and other readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. They are not a substitute for the exercise of one’s own due diligence and judgment. The outcomes implied by forward-looking statements may not occur and we do not undertake to update forward-looking statements except as required by applicable securities laws.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS PAGE 21

Methanex Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)

(thousands of U.S. dollars, except number of common shares and per share amounts)


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023

Revenue	$	934,801	$	823,272	$	2,770,869	$	2,801,056
Cost of sales and operating expenses	(794,296)		(730,047)		(2,275,181)		(2,295,604)
Depreciation and amortization	(99,275)		(98,285)		(295,136)		(291,715)
New Zealand gas sale net proceeds (note 10)	71,395		—		71,395		—
Egypt insurance recovery (note 11)	59,065		—		59,065		—
Asset impairment charge (note 2)	(124,788)		—		(124,788)		—
Operating income (loss)	46,902		(5,060)		206,224		213,737
Earnings of associate (note 3)	14,122		55,379		44,062		85,287
Finance costs (note 4)	(27,824)		(26,360)		(83,184)		(87,280)
Finance income and other (note 9)	42,235		2,129		48,922		28,733
Income before income taxes	75,435		26,088		216,024		240,477
Income tax (expense) recovery:
Current	(28,399)		(18,601)		(51,342)		(49,653)
Deferred	17,868		36,133		30,258		33,727
	(10,531)		17,532		(21,084)		(15,926)
Net income	$	64,904	$	43,620	$	194,940	$	224,551
Attributable to:
Methanex Corporation shareholders	$	31,074	$	24,189	$	118,912	$	140,649
Non-controlling interests	33,830		19,431		76,028		83,902
	$	64,904	$	43,620	$	194,940	$	224,551

Income per common share for the period attributable to Methanex Corporation shareholders
Basic net income per common share	$	0.46	$	0.36	$	1.77	$	2.07
Diluted net income per common share (note 6)	$	0.35	$	0.36	$	1.62	$	2.07

Weighted average number of common shares outstanding (note 6)	67,387,492		67,377,492		67,387,492		67,949,525
Diluted weighted average number of common shares outstanding (note 6)	67,505,651		67,382,861		67,561,920		67,956,191

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 1

Methanex Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (unaudited)

(thousands of U.S. dollars)


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Net income	$	64,904	$	43,620	$	194,940	$	224,551
Other comprehensive income (loss):
Items that may be reclassified to income:
Changes in cash flow hedges and excluded forward element (note 9)	(53,863)		13,963		(84,269)		(216,888)
Realized losses (gains) on foreign exchange hedges reclassified to revenue	1,512		(217)		19		2,918
Amounts reclassified on discontinuation of hedging relationship (note 9)	—		—		11,702		—



Taxes on above items	5,579		(4,661)		(513)		46,272
	(46,772)		9,085		(73,061)		(167,698)
Comprehensive income	$	18,132	$	52,705	$	121,879	$	56,853
Attributable to:
Methanex Corporation shareholders	$	(15,698)	$	33,274	$	45,851	$	(27,049)
Non-controlling interests	33,830		19,431		76,028		83,902
	$	18,132	$	52,705	$	121,879	$	56,853

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 2

Methanex Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Financial Position (unaudited)

(thousands of U.S. dollars)


AS AT	Sep 30 2024		Dec 31 2023
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents	$	511,104	$	458,015
Trade and other receivables	682,081		533,615
Inventories	408,854		426,774
Prepaid expenses	60,194		58,024
Other assets	16,965		3,893
	1,679,198		1,480,321
Non-current assets:
Property, plant and equipment (note 2)	4,247,775		4,411,768
Investment in associate (note 3)	159,200		184,249
Deferred income tax assets	202,519		152,250
Other assets (note 9)	194,438		197,967
	4,803,932		4,946,234
	$	6,483,130	$	6,426,555
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Trade, other payables and accrued liabilities	$	770,778	$	771,867
Current maturities on long-term debt (note 5)	313,394		314,716
Current maturities on lease obligations	125,273		120,731
Current maturities on other long-term liabilities	47,577		94,992
	1,257,022		1,302,306
Non-current liabilities:
Long-term debt (note 5)	1,818,605		1,827,085
Lease obligations	716,321		751,389
Other long-term liabilities	149,837		154,918
Deferred income tax liabilities	235,346		217,840
	2,920,109		2,951,232
Equity:
Capital stock	391,924		391,924
Contributed surplus	1,957		1,838
Retained earnings	1,595,775		1,514,264
Accumulated other comprehensive income	12,424		22,901
Shareholders' equity	2,002,080		1,930,927
Non-controlling interests	303,919		242,090
Total equity	2,305,999		2,173,017
	$	6,483,130	$	6,426,555

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 3

Methanex Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Changes in Equity (unaudited)

(thousands of U.S. dollars, except number of common shares)


	Number of Common Shares	Capital Stock		Contributed Surplus		Retained Earnings		Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)		Shareholders' Equity		Non- Controlling Interests		Total Equity
Balance, December 31, 2022	69,239,136	$401,295		$1,904		$1,466,872		$241,942		$2,112,013		$317,444		$2,429,457
Net income	—	—		—		140,649		—		140,649		83,902		224,551
Other comprehensive loss	—	—		—		—		(167,698)		(167,698)		—		(167,698)
Compensation expense recorded for stock options	—	—		92		—		—		92		—		92
Issue of shares on exercise of stock options	33,067	1,144		—		—		—		1,144		—		1,144
Reclassification of grant date fair value on exercise of stock options	—	190		(190)		—		—		—		—		—

Payments for repurchase of shares	(1,894,711)	(10,998)		—		(75,394)		—		(86,392)		—		(86,392)
Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders	—	—		—		(36,913)		—		(36,913)		—		(36,913)
Distributions made and accrued to non-controlling interests	—	—		—		—		—		—		(82,409)		(82,409)


Realized hedge losses recognized in cash flow hedges	—	—		—		—		17,669		17,669		—		17,669
Balance, September 30, 2023	67,377,492	$391,631		$1,806		$1,495,214		$91,913		$1,980,564		$318,937		$2,299,501
Net income	—	—		—		33,491		—		33,491		26,080		59,571
Other comprehensive loss	—	—		—		(1,976)		(73,868)		(75,844)		—		(75,844)
Compensation expense recorded for stock options	—	—		32		—		—		32		—		32
Issue of shares on exercise of stock options	10,000	293		—		—		—		293		—		293



Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders	—	—		—		(12,465)		—		(12,465)		—		(12,465)
Distributions made and accrued to non-controlling interests	—	—		—		—		—		—		(102,927)		(102,927)


Realized hedge losses recognized in cash flow hedges	—	—		—		—		4,856		4,856		—		4,856
Balance, December 31, 2023	67,387,492	$391,924		$1,838		$1,514,264		$22,901		$1,930,927		$242,090		$2,173,017
Net income	—	—		—		118,912		—		118,912		76,028		194,940
Other comprehensive loss	—	—		—		—		(73,061)		(73,061)		—		(73,061)
Compensation expense recorded for stock options	—	—		119		—		—		119		—		119




Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders	—	—		—		(37,401)		—		(37,401)		—		(37,401)
Distributions made and accrued to non-controlling interests	—	—		—		—		—		—		(14,199)		(14,199)


Realized hedge losses recognized in cash flow hedges	—	—		—		—		62,584		62,584		—		62,584
Balance, September 30, 2024	67,387,492	$	391,924	$	1,957	$	1,595,775	$	12,424	$	2,002,080	$	303,919	$	2,305,999

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 4

Methanex Corporation

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (unaudited)

(thousands of U.S. dollars)


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
CASH FLOWS FROM (USED IN) OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net income	$	64,904	$	43,620	$	194,940	$	224,551
Deduct earnings of associate	(14,122)		(55,379)		(44,062)		(85,287)
Dividends received from associate	6,310		15,775		32,181		43,539
Add (deduct) non-cash items:
Depreciation and amortization	99,275		98,285		295,136		291,715
Income tax expense (recovery)	10,531		(17,532)		21,084		15,926
Share-based compensation (recovery) expense	(13,783)		11,353		(2,528)		28,032
Finance costs	27,824		26,360		83,184		87,280
Mark-to-market impact of derivatives	(32,953)		—		(33,143)		—
Asset impairment charge	124,788		—		124,788		—
Other	(2,293)		6,369		(9,758)		(15,983)
Interest received	4,432		5,514		10,603		17,398
Income taxes paid	(4,866)		(9,586)		(35,379)		(80,117)
Other cash payments, including share-based compensation	(2,695)		(4,785)		(25,006)		(39,101)
Cash flows from operating activities before undernoted	267,352		119,994		612,040		487,953
Changes in non-cash working capital (note 8)	(57,455)		(13,557)		(155,778)		(22,924)
	209,897		106,437		456,262		465,029

CASH FLOWS FROM (USED IN) FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Payments for repurchase of shares	—		—		—		(86,391)
Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders	(12,468)		(12,463)		(37,401)		(36,913)
Interest paid	(17,863)		(15,287)		(101,406)		(101,475)


Repayment of long-term debt and financing fees (note 5)	(8,202)		(1,754)		(15,966)		(10,444)



Repayment of lease obligations	(35,714)		(29,538)		(106,416)		(86,455)


Distributions to non-controlling interests	(4,252)		(31,452)		(14,199)		(82,409)

Proceeds on issue of shares on exercise of stock options	—		—		—		1,144

Restricted cash for debt service accounts	1,729		(451)		932		(963)

Changes in non-cash working capital related to financing activities (note 8)	(9,120)		18,000		(25,452)		18,000
	(85,890)		(72,945)		(299,908)		(385,906)

CASH FLOWS FROM (USED IN) INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Property, plant and equipment	(29,008)		(68,793)		(64,481)		(149,708)
Geismar plant under construction	(17,374)		(71,738)		(64,965)		(228,901)




Loan repayment from associate	6,648		—		36,937		—
Changes in non-cash working capital related to investing activities (note 8)	705		(10,001)		(10,756)		(29,565)
	(39,029)		(150,532)		(103,265)		(408,174)
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents	84,978		(117,040)		53,089		(329,051)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period	426,126		645,736		458,015		857,747
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period	$	511,104	$	528,696	$	511,104	$	528,696

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 5

Methanex Corporation

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements (unaudited)

Except where otherwise noted, tabular dollar amounts are stated in thousands of U.S. dollars.

1. Basis of presentation:

Methanex Corporation ("the Company") is an incorporated entity with corporate offices in Vancouver, Canada. The Company’s operations consist of the production and sale of methanol, a commodity chemical. The Company is the world’s largest producer and supplier of methanol to the major international markets of Asia Pacific, North America, Europe and South America.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements are prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standards ("IAS") 34, Interim Financial Reporting, as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB") on a basis consistent with those followed in the most recent annual consolidated financial statements except for the adoption of amendments effective January 1, 2024 to IAS 1, Presentation of Financial Statements regarding the classification of liabilities as current or non-current, IFRS 16, Leases regarding sale-and-leaseback transactions and IAS 7, Statement of Cash Flows regarding supplier finance arrangements. The amendments did not have a material impact on the Company's consolidated financial statements.

Pillar Two model rules were published by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (“Pillar Two rules”) and establish a global minimum fifteen percent top-up tax regime. Pillar Two rules were implemented in Canada and are effective for tax years beginning January 1, 2024. The Company is in scope of the proposed legislation. In May 2023, the IASB issued an amendment to IAS 12, establishing a mandatory exception for recognition and disclosure of deferred taxes related to the Pillar Two rules. The amendment also includes current tax disclosure requirements in the periods the rules are effective. The Company has adopted the IAS 12 amendment and our 2024 results do not indicate any significant amount of Pillar Two top-up taxes.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements do not include all of the information required for full annual financial statements and were approved and authorized for issue by the Audit, Finance & Risk Committee of the Board of Directors on November 6, 2024.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2023.

2. Property, plant and equipment:


	Owned Assets (a)		Right-of-use assets (b)		Total
Net book value at September 30, 2024	$	3,527,619	$	720,156	$	4,247,775
Net book value at December 31, 2023	$	3,654,475	$	757,293	$	4,411,768

a)Owned assets:


	Buildings, Plant Installations & Machinery		Plants Under Construction 1		Ocean Going Vessels		Other		Total
Cost at September 30, 2024	$	4,882,546	$	1,469,290	$	241,681	$	130,133	$	6,723,650
Accumulated depreciation at September 30, 2024	3,029,945		—		70,168		95,918		3,196,031
Net book value at September 30, 2024	$	1,852,601	$	1,469,290	$	171,513	$	34,215	$	3,527,619
Cost at December 31, 2023	$	4,880,207	$	1,355,497	$	240,723	$	128,663	$	6,605,090
Accumulated depreciation at December 31, 2023	2,794,702		—		61,390		94,523		2,950,615
Net book value at December 31, 2023	$	2,085,505	$	1,355,497	$	179,333	$	34,140	$	3,654,475

1 The Company is constructing a 1.8 million tonne methanol plant in Geismar, Louisiana adjacent to its Geismar 1 and Geismar 2 facilities. Included in cost of Plants Under Construction are $198 million of capitalized interest and finance charges as at September 30, 2024. Subsequent to September 30, 2024, Geismar 3 passed its 72-hour technology license performance test and will be transferred to Buildings, Plant Installations & Machinery in Q4 2024.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 6

There are two key variables that impact the Company’s estimates of future cash flows: (1) the methanol price and (2) the volume of natural gas. Methanol price estimates are based on supply and demand fundamentals and consideration is given to many factors, including, but not limited to, estimates of global industrial production rates, energy prices, changes in general economic conditions, future global methanol production capacity, industry operating rates and the global industry cost structure. The Company’s estimate of the volume of natural gas takes into consideration the current contracted terms, as well as factors that it believes are relevant to supply under these contracts and supplemental natural gas sources. Other assumptions included in the Company’s estimate of future cash flows include the estimated cost incurred to maintain the facilities, estimates of transportation costs and other variable costs incurred in producing methanol in each period. The values assigned to the key assumptions represent management's assessment of future trends and have been based on historical data from both external and internal sources.

The following table presents the Level 3 inputs and the sensitivities of the fair value less costs of disposal model to changes in these inputs:


	Sensitivities
Valuation input	Input value or range	Change in input	Resulting change in valuation
Methanol price forecast	$317 - $365 per MT	+/- $25 per MT	$+24/-27 million
Volume of natural gas	Annual estimates based on third party forecasts	+/-10%	$+19/-21 million
Discount rate (after-tax)	9%	+/- 1%	$+/-2 million

b)Right-of-use assets:


	Ocean Going Vessels		Terminals, Tanks and Rail		Other		Total
Cost at September 30, 2024	$	943,607	$	357,487	$	61,186	$	1,362,280
Accumulated depreciation at September 30, 2024	388,762		218,263		35,099		642,124
Net book value at September 30, 2024	$	554,845	$	139,224	$	26,087	$	720,156
Cost at December 31, 2023	$	910,720	$	332,441	$	58,622	$	1,301,783
Accumulated depreciation at December 31, 2023	314,324		196,303		33,863		544,490
Net book value at December 31, 2023	$	596,396	$	136,138	$	24,759	$	757,293

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 7

3. Interest in Atlas joint venture:

a)Stand-alone financial information:

The Company has a 63.1% equity interest in Atlas Methanol Company Unlimited ("Atlas"). Atlas owns a 1.8 million tonne per year methanol production facility in Trinidad. In mid-September the Atlas facility was idled, as its legacy 20-year natural gas supply agreement expired,The Company accounts for its interest in Atlas using the equity method. Summarized financial information of Atlas (100% basis) is as follows:


Statements of financial position	Sep 30 2024		Dec 31 2023
Cash and cash equivalents	$	35,696	$	126,392
Other current assets	220,357		189,062
Non-current assets	151,958		149,354
Current liabilities	(144,133)		(157,835)
Other long-term liabilities, including current maturities	(74,007)		(135,940)
Net assets at 100%	$	189,871	$	171,033
Net assets at 63.1%	$	119,809	$	107,921
Long-term receivable from Atlas	39,391		76,328
Investment in associate	$	159,200	$	184,249


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
Statements of income	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Revenue	$	112,660	$	103,210	$	344,892	$	361,378
Cost of sales and depreciation and amortization	(76,584)		(39,381)		(239,277)		(221,146)
Gas contract settlement (b)	—		75,000		—		75,000
Operating income	36,076		138,829		105,615		215,232
Finance costs, finance income and other	(948)		(2,719)		(5,226)		(7,754)
Income tax expense (b)	(12,747)		(48,346)		(30,560)		(72,316)
Net earnings at 100%	$	22,381	$	87,764	$	69,829	$	135,162
Earnings of associate at 63.1%	$	14,122	$	55,379	$	44,062	$	85,287

Dividends received from associate	$	6,310	$	15,775	$	32,181	$	43,539

b)Atlas tax assessments:

The Board of Inland Revenue of Trinidad and Tobago ("the BIR") has audited and issued assessments against Atlas in respect of the 2005 to 2017 financial years. All subsequent tax years remain open to assessment. The assessments relate to the pricing arrangements of certain long-term fixed-price sales contracts that commenced in 2005 and continued with affiliates through 2014 and with an unrelated third party through 2019.

The long-term fixed-price sales contracts with affiliates were established as part of the formation of Atlas and management believes these were reflective of market considerations at that time.

During the periods under assessment and continuing through 2014, approximately 50% of Atlas-produced methanol was sold under these fixed-price contracts. From late 2014 through 2019 fixed-price sales to an unrelated third party represented approximately 10% of Atlas-produced methanol. Atlas had partial relief from corporation income tax until late July 2014.

The Company believes it is impractical to disclose a reasonable estimate of the potential contingent liability due to the wide range of assumptions and interpretations implicit in the assessments.

The Company has lodged objections to the assessments. No deposits have been required to lodge objections. Based on the merits of the cases and advice from legal counsel, the Company believes its position should be sustained, that Atlas has filed its tax returns and paid applicable taxes in compliance with Trinidadian tax law, and as such has not accrued for any

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 8

amounts relating to these assessments. Contingencies inherently involve the exercise of significant judgment, and as such the outcomes of these assessments and the financial impact to the Company could be material.

The Company anticipates the resolution of this matter through the court systems to be lengthy and, at this time, cannot predict a date as to when this matter is expected to be ultimately resolved.

4. Finance costs:


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Finance costs	$	44,308	$	40,925	$	131,902	$	127,423
Less capitalized interest related to Geismar plant under construction	(16,484)		(14,565)		(48,718)		(40,143)
	$	27,824	$	26,360	$	83,184	$	87,280

Finance costs are primarily comprised of interest on the unsecured notes, limited recourse debt facilities, finance lease obligations, amortization of deferred financing fees, and accretion expense associated with site restoration costs. Interest during construction projects is capitalized until the plant is substantially completed and ready for productive use.

5. Long-term debt:


As at	Sep 30 2024		Dec 31 2023
Unsecured notes
$300 million at 4.25% due December 1, 2024	$	299,849	$	299,283
$700 million at 5.125% due October 15, 2027	695,783		694,844
$700 million at 5.25% due December 15, 2029	696,249		695,824
$300 million at 5.65% due December 1, 2044	295,790		295,709
	1,987,671		1,985,660


Other limited recourse debt facilities
5.58% due through June 30, 2031	50,932		56,637
5.35% due through September 30, 2033	60,485		65,300
5.21% due through September 15, 2036	32,911		34,204

Total long-term debt 1	2,131,999		2,141,801
Less current maturities 1	(313,394)		(314,716)
	$	1,818,605	$	1,827,085

1 Long-term debt and current maturities are presented net of deferred financing fees.

At September 30, 2024, the Company has access to a $500 million committed revolving credit facility, which is with a syndicate of highly rated financial institutions.

The existing revolving credit facility was entered into with the following significant covenants and default provisions:

a)the obligation to maintain a minimum EBITDA to interest coverage ratio of greater than or equal to 2:1 calculated on a four-quarter trailing basis and a debt to capitalization ratio of less than or equal to 60%, both calculated in accordance with definitions in the credit agreement that include adjustments to limited recourse subsidiaries,

b)a default if payment is accelerated by a creditor on any indebtedness of $50 million or more of the Company and its subsidiaries, except for the limited recourse subsidiaries, and

c)a default if a default occurs that permits a creditor to demand repayment on any other indebtedness of $50 million or more of the Company and its subsidiaries, except for the limited recourse subsidiaries.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 9

The revolving credit facility is partially secured by certain assets of the Company, and also includes other customary covenants including restrictions on the incurrence of additional indebtedness.

Other limited recourse debt facilities relate to financing for a certain number of our ocean going vessels which we own through less than wholly-owned entities under the Company's control. The limited recourse debt facilities are described as limited recourse as they are secured only by the assets of the entity that carries the debt. Accordingly, the lenders to the limited recourse debt facilities have no recourse to the Company or its other subsidiaries.

The covenants governing the Company’s unsecured notes, which are specified in an indenture, apply to the Company and its subsidiaries, excluding the Egypt entity and the Atlas joint venture entity, and include restrictions on liens, sale and lease-back transactions, a merger or consolidation with another corporation or sale of all or substantially all of the Company’s assets. The indenture also contains customary default provisions.

Failure to comply with any of the covenants or default provisions of the long-term debt arrangements described above could result in a default under the applicable credit agreement that would allow the lenders to not fund future loan requests, accelerate the due date of the principal and accrued interest on any outstanding loans, or restrict the payment of cash or other distributions.

As at September 30, 2024, management believes the Company was in compliance with all covenants related to long-term debt obligations.

In October, to support the acquisition of OCI Global’s international methanol business (“OCI Acquisition”), the Company successfully syndicated a 364-day bridge facility (“Bridge Facility”). The Company also renewed its $500 million revolving credit facility by increasing the existing $300 million tranche to $400 million with a new five-year tenor, and the renewal of the $200 million tranche with a new three-year tenor from the closing date of the OCI Acquisition. Additionally, a term loan commitment of $650 million was added to partially finance the OCI Acquisition. The increase to a total availability of $600 million under the revolving credit facility and availability of the $650 million term loan commitment are subject to the closing of the OCI Acquisition. As a result of the successful syndication of the $650 million term loan commitment, the commitment under a 364-day bridge facility that was syndicated in early October was reduced to $525 million.

6. Net income per common share:

Diluted net income per common share is calculated by considering the potential dilution that would occur if outstanding stock options and, under certain circumstances, tandem share appreciation rights ("TSARs") were exercised or converted to common shares.

Outstanding TSARs may be settled in cash or common shares at the holder’s option and for purposes of calculating diluted net income per common share, the more dilutive of the cash-settled and equity-settled method is used, regardless of how the plan is accounted for. Accordingly, TSARs that are accounted for using the cash-settled method will require adjustments to the numerator if the equity-settled method is determined to have a dilutive effect on diluted net income per common share as compared to the cash-settled method. The equity-settled method was more dilutive for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, and an adjustment was required for the numerator and the denominator. For the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2023, the cash-settled method was more dilutive and no adjustment was required for the numerator or the denominator.

Stock options and, if calculated using the equity-settled method, TSARs are considered dilutive when the average market price of the Company’s common shares during the period disclosed exceeds the exercise price of the stock option or TSAR. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, stock options were dilutive, resulting in an adjustment to the denominator. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, TSARs were dilutive, resulting in an adjustment to the denominator. For the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2023, TSARs were not dilutive, resulting in no adjustment to the denominator.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 10

A reconciliation of the numerator used for the purposes of calculating diluted net income per common share is as follows:


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Numerator for basic net income per common share	$	31,074	$	24,189	$	118,912	$	140,649
Adjustment for the effect of TSARs:
Cash-settled recovery included in net income	(6,540)		—		(5,694)		—
Equity-settled expense	(858)		—		(3,516)		—
Numerator for diluted net income per common share	$	23,676	$	24,189	$	109,702	$	140,649

A reconciliation of the denominator used for the purposes of calculating diluted net income per common share is as follows:


	Three Months Ended		Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024	Sep 30 2023	Sep 30 2024	Sep 30 2023
Denominator for basic net income per common share	67,387,492	67,377,492	67,387,492	67,949,525
Effect of dilutive stock options	4,332	5,369	6,557	6,666
Effect of dilutive TSARs	113,827	—	167,871	—
Denominator for diluted net income per common share	67,505,651	67,382,861	67,561,920	67,956,191

7. Share-based compensation:

a) Share appreciation rights ("SARs") and TSARs:

(i)Outstanding units:

Information regarding units outstanding at September 30, 2024 is as follows:


	SARs			TSARs
(per share amounts in USD)	Number of Units	Weighted Average Exercise Price		Number of Units	Weighted Average Exercise Price
Outstanding at December 31, 2023	402,532	$	46.65	2,007,470	$	45.10
Granted	83,840	43.13		245,730	42.34
Exercised	(20,327)	39.87		(180,838)	33.43

Expired	(87,120)	50.15		(236,062)	50.17
Outstanding at June 30, 2024	378,925	$	45.43	1,836,300	$	45.23
Granted	—	—		9,810	48.59
Exercised	(2,510)	38.79		—	—
Cancelled	—	—		(20,893)	50.74

Outstanding at September 30, 2024	376,415	$	45.47	1,825,217	$	45.18

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 11


	Units Outstanding at September 30, 2024				Units Exercisable at September 30, 2024
Range of Exercise Prices (per share amounts in USD)	Weighted Average Remaining Contractual Life (Years)	Number of Units Outstanding	Weighted Average Exercise Price		Number of Units Exercisable	Weighted Average Exercise Price
SARs:
$29.27 to $38.79	2.76	98,038	$	32.46	98,038	$	32.46
$42.34 to $50.49	5.74	163,217	46.34		34,360	49.41
$54.65 to $78.59	0.64	115,160	55.32		115,160	55.32
	3.40	376,415	$	45.47	247,558	$	45.45
TSARs:
$29.27 to $38.79	2.85	611,324	$	33.32	611,324	$	33.32
$42.34 to $50.49	5.43	666,483	46.77		221,562	48.97
$54.65 to $78.59	0.91	547,410	56.50		547,410	56.50
	3.21	1,825,217	$	45.18	1,380,296	$	45.02

(ii)Compensation expense related to SARs and TSARs:

Compensation expense for SARs and TSARs is measured based on their fair value and is recognized over the vesting period. Changes in fair value each period are recognized in net income for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. The fair value at September 30, 2024 was $18.6 million compared to the recorded liability of $16.0 million. The difference between the fair value and the recorded liability of $2.6 million will be recognized over the weighted average remaining vesting period of approximately 1.5 years. The weighted average fair value was estimated at September 30, 2024 using the Black-Scholes option pricing model.

For the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2024, compensation expense related to SARs and TSARs included a recovery in cost of sales and operating expense of $7.7 million (2023 - an expense of $3.7 million) and a recovery of $5.4 million (2023 - an expense of $9.9 million), respectively. This included a recovery of $8.7 million (2023 - an expense of $2.9 million) and a recovery of $10.2 million (2023 - an expense of $6.7 million), related to the effect of the change in the Company’s share price for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively.

b)Deferred, restricted and performance share units:

Deferred, restricted and performance share units outstanding at September 30, 2024 are as follows:


	Number of Deferred Share Units	Number of Restricted Share Units	Number of Performance Share Units
Outstanding at December 31, 2023	157,700	310,854	631,122
Granted	24,311	134,080	234,430
Performance factors impact on redemption 1	—	—	47,473
Granted in-lieu of dividends	1,440	2,667	4,889
Redeemed	—	(108,090)	(297,331)
Cancelled	—	(8,955)	(16,383)
Outstanding at June 30, 2024	183,451	330,556	604,200
Granted	2,589	—	—

Granted in-lieu of dividends	820	1,556	2,852

Cancelled	—	(3,434)	(4,331)
Outstanding at September 30, 2024	186,860	328,678	602,721

1 The number of performance share units that ultimately vest are determined by performance factors as described below. The performance factors impact relates to performance share units redeemed in the quarter ended March 31, 2024.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 12

Performance share units are redeemable for cash based on the market value of the Company's common shares and are non-dilutive to shareholders. Units vest over three years and include two equally weighted performance factors: (i) relative total shareholder return of Methanex shares versus a specific market index (the market performance factor) and (ii) three year average modified return on capital employed (the non-market performance factor). The market performance factor is measured by the Company at the grant date and reporting date using a Monte-Carlo simulation model to determine fair value. The non-market performance factor reflects management's best estimate to determine the expected number of units to vest. Based on these performance factors, the performance share unit payout will range between 0% to 200%.

Compensation expense for deferred, restricted and performance share units is measured at fair value based on the market value of the Company’s common shares and is recognized over the vesting period. Changes in fair value are recognized in net income for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. The fair value of deferred, restricted and performance share units at September 30, 2024 was $44.4 million compared to the recorded liability of $33.5 million. The difference between the fair value and the recorded liability of $10.9 million will be recognized over the weighted average remaining vesting period of approximately 1.8 years.

For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, compensation expense related to deferred, restricted and performance share units included in cost of sales and operating expenses was a recovery of $5.9 million (2023 - an expense of $7.6 million) and an expense of $2.8 million (2023 - an expense of $18.0 million), respectively. This included a recovery of $9.1 million (2023 - an expense of $4.7 million) and a recovery of $9.8 million (2023 - an expense of $6.1 million), related to the effect of the change in the Company’s share price for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 respectively.

8.Changes in non-cash working capital:

Changes in non-cash working capital for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 were as follows:


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Changes in non-cash working capital:
Trade and other receivables	$	(116,932)	$	(14,530)	$	(148,466)	$	22,239
Inventories	49,494		50,494		17,920		31,112
Prepaid expenses	(15,431)		(3,437)		(2,170)		2,396
Trade, other payables and accrued liabilities	76,073		5,962		(1,089)		(80,451)
	(6,796)		38,489		(133,805)		(24,704)
Adjustments for items not having a cash effect and working capital changes relating to taxes and interest paid	(59,074)		(44,047)		(58,181)		(9,785)
Changes in non-cash working capital having a cash effect	$	(65,870)	$	(5,558)	$	(191,986)	$	(34,489)

These changes relate to the following activities:
Operating	$	(57,455)	$	(13,557)	$	(155,778)	$	(22,924)
Financing	(9,120)		18,000		(25,452)		18,000
Investing	705		(10,001)		(10,756)		(29,565)
Changes in non-cash working capital	$	(65,870)	$	(5,558)	$	(191,986)	$	(34,489)

9.Financial instruments:

Financial instruments are either measured at amortized cost or fair value.

In the normal course of business, the Company's assets, liabilities and forecasted transactions, as reported in U.S. dollars, are impacted by various market risks including, but not limited to, natural gas prices and currency exchange rates. The time frame and manner in which the Company manages those risks varies for each item based on the Company's assessment of the risk and the available alternatives for mitigating risks.

The Company uses derivatives as part of its risk management program to mitigate variability associated with changing market

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 13

values. Changes in fair value of derivative financial instruments are recorded in earnings unless the instruments are designated as cash flow hedges. The Company designates as cash flow hedges derivative financial instruments to hedge its risk exposure to fluctuations in natural gas prices and fluctuations in the Euro compared to the U.S. dollar.

The fair value of derivative instruments is determined based on industry-accepted valuation models with those using market observable inputs classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy and those using significant unobservable inputs classified as Level 3. The fair value of all of the Company's derivative contracts as presented in the consolidated statements of financial position are determined based on present values and the discount rates used are adjusted for credit risk. The effective portion of the changes in fair value of derivative financial instruments designated as cash flow hedges is recorded in other comprehensive income as the change in fair value of cash flow hedges. The change in the fair value of the forward element of forward contracts is recorded separately in other comprehensive income as the forward element is excluded from the hedging relationships. Once a commodity hedge settles, the amount realized during the period and not recognized immediately in the statement of income is reclassified from accumulated other comprehensive income (equity) to inventory and ultimately through cost of goods sold. Foreign currency hedges settled, are realized during the period directly to the statement of income, reclassified from the statement of other comprehensive income.

Until settled, the fair value of Level 2 derivative financial instruments will fluctuate based on changes in commodity prices or foreign currency exchange rates and the fair value of Level 3 derivative financial instruments will fluctuate based on changes in the observable and unobservable valuation model inputs.

North American natural gas forward contracts

The Company manages its exposure to changes in natural gas prices for a portion of its North American natural gas requirements by executing a number of fixed price forward contracts: both financial and physical.

The Company has entered into forward contracts designated as cash flow hedges to manage its exposure to changes in natural gas prices for Geismar. Natural gas is fungible across the Geismar plants. Other costs incurred to transport natural gas from the contracted delivery point Henry Hub to the relevant production facility represent an insignificant portion of the overall underlying risk and are recognized as incurred outside of the hedging relationship.


As at	Sep 30 2024		Dec 31 2023
Maturities	2024-2032		2024-2032
Notional quantity 1	315,210		347,190
Notional quantity per day, annualized 1	50 - 180		50 - 170
Notional amount	$	1,068,776	$	1,183,319
Net fair value	$	32,608	$	29,925

1 In thousands of Million British Thermal Units (MMBtu)

Information regarding the gross amounts of the Company's natural gas forward contracts designated as cash flow hedges in the unaudited consolidated statements of financial position is as follows:


As at	Sep 30 2024		Dec 31 2023
Other current assets	$	13,111	$	470
Other non-current assets	82,240		120,638
Other current liabilities	(28,984)		(60,532)
Other long-term liabilities	(33,759)		(30,651)
Net fair value	$	32,608	$	29,925

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 14

Euro forward exchange contracts

The Company manages its foreign currency exposure to euro denominated sales by executing a number of forward contracts which it has designated as cash flow hedges for its highly probable forecast euro collections.

As at September 30, 2024, the Company had outstanding forward exchange contracts designated as cash flow hedges to sell a notional amount of 26.8 million euros (December 31, 2023 - 12.2 million euros). The euro contracts had a negative fair value of $0.8 million included in Other current liabilities (December 31, 2023 - negative fair value of $0.5 million included in Other current liabilities).

Changes in cash flow hedges and excluded forward element

Information regarding the impact of changes in cash flow hedges and cost of hedging reserve in the consolidated statement of comprehensive income is as follows:


	Three Months Ended				Nine Months Ended
	Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023		Sep 30 2024		Sep 30 2023
Change in fair value of cash flow hedges	$	61,842	$	44,822	$	(34,077)	$	(238,116)
Forward element excluded from hedging relationships	(115,705)		(30,859)		(50,192)		21,228
	$	(53,863)	$	13,963	$	(84,269)	$	(216,888)

Fair value - Level 2 instruments

The fair value of the Company’s North American natural gas forward contracts and Euro forward exchange contracts are derivative financial instruments determined based on Bloomberg quoted market prices and confirmations received from counterparties, which are adjusted for credit risk.

The table below shows the nominal net cash flows for derivative hedging instruments, excluding credit risk adjustments, based upon contracted settlement dates. The amounts reflect the maturity profile of the hedging instruments and are subject to change based on the prevailing market rate at each of the future settlement dates. Financial asset derivative positions are held with investment-grade counterparties and therefore the settlement day risk exposure is considered to be minimal.


					Cash inflows (outflows) by term to maturity - undiscounted
	Carrying amount		Contractual cash flows		1 year or less		1-3 years		3-5 years		More than 5 years
Natural gas forward contracts assets	$	95,351	$	105,927	$	13,417	$	49,832	$	33,538	$	9,140
Natural gas forward contracts liabilities	(62,743)		(72,669)		(29,501)		(14,290)		(7,600)		(21,278)
Euro forward exchange contracts	(782)		(782)		(782)		—		—		—
	$	31,826	$	32,476	$	(16,866)	$	35,542	$	25,938	$	(12,138)

The carrying values of the Company’s financial instruments approximate their fair values, except as follows:


	September 30, 2024				December 31, 2023
As at	Carrying Value		Fair Value		Carrying Value		Fair Value
Long-term debt excluding deferred financing fees	$	2,144,773	$	2,098,265	$	2,156,534	$	2,063,661

Long-term debt consists of limited recourse debt facilities and unsecured notes. There is no publicly traded market for the limited recourse debt facilities. The fair value of the limited recourse debt facilities as disclosed on a recurring basis and categorized as Level 2 within the fair value hierarchy is estimated by reference to current market rates as at the reporting date. The fair value of the unsecured notes disclosed on a recurring basis and also categorized as Level 2 within the fair value hierarchy is estimated using quoted prices and yields as at the reporting date. The fair value of the Company’s long term debt will fluctuate until maturity.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 15

Fair value - Level 3 instrument - Egyptian natural gas supply contract

The Company holds a long-term natural gas supply contract expiring in 2035 with the Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company, a State-Owned enterprise in Egypt. The natural gas supply contract includes a base fixed price plus a premium based on the realized price of methanol for the full volume of natural gas to supply the plant through 2035. As a result of an amendment in 2022, the contract is being treated as a derivative measured at fair value.

There is no observable, liquid spot market or forward curve for natural gas in Egypt. In addition, there are limited observable prices for natural gas in Egypt as all natural gas purchases and sales are controlled by the government and the observed prices differ based on the produced output or usage.

Due to the absence of an observable market price for an equivalent or similar contract to measure fair value, the contract's fair value is estimated using a Monte-Carlo model. The Monte-Carlo model includes significant unobservable inputs and as a result is classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. We consider market participant assumptions in establishing the model inputs and determining fair value, including adjusting the base fixed price and methanol based premium at the valuation date to consider estimates of inflation since contract inception.

At September 30, 2024 the fair value of the derivative associated with the remaining term of the natural gas supply contract is $18.2 million recorded in Other non-current assets (December 31, 2023 - $20.4 million). Changes in fair value of the contract are recognized in Finance income and other.

The table presents the Level 3 inputs and the sensitivities of the Monte-Carlo model valuation to changes in these inputs:


	Sensitivities
Valuation input	Input value or range	Change in input	Resulting change in valuation
Methanol price volatility (before impact of mean reversion)	35%	+/- 5%	$+/-6 million
Methanol price forecast	$320 - $420 per MT	+/- $25 per MT	$-5/+6 million
Discount rate	6.9%	+/- 1%	$-1/+1 million

It is possible that the assumptions used in establishing fair value amounts will differ from future outcomes and the impact of such variations could be material.

Fair value - Level 3 instrument - New Zealand natural gas supply contract

The Company holds a long-term natural gas supply contract expiring in 2029 with OMV New Zealand ("OMV"), one of the largest gas suppliers in New Zealand. The natural gas supply contract includes a base fixed price plus a premium based on the realized price of methanol.

During the third quarter of 2024 the Company entered into short-term commercial arrangements to provide its contracted natural gas into the New Zealand electricity market (Refer to Note 10 - New Zealand gas sale net proceeds). The on-sale of natural gas has impacted the accounting assessment for the contract whereby it is now considered a derivative to be measured at fair value.

The New Zealand wholesale gas market is relatively small and concentrated as there are a limited number of suppliers and consumers. There is a limited observable, liquid spot market and no forward curve for natural gas in New Zealand. The gas trading platform used to facilitate short-term balance in the gas market trades inconsequential volumes relative to the scope of the Company’s gas consumption and the overall gas market. The Company does not believe transactions on this platform take place with sufficient frequency and volume to provide pricing information.

Due to the absence of an observable market price for an equivalent or similar contract to measure fair value, we have estimated fair value using an economic model. The model includes significant unobservable inputs and as a result is classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. We have considered market participant assumptions in establishing the model inputs and determining fair value, including potential sharing mechanisms for gas on-sales to consider the change in the local market gas supply and demand dynamics since contract inception.

At September 30, 2024 the fair value of the derivative associated with the remaining term of the natural gas supply contract following the on-sale is $35 million recorded in Other assets and recognized as an unrealized gain in Finance income (loss) and other expenses.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 16

The table presents the Level 3 inputs and the sensitivities of the economic model valuation to changes in these inputs:


	Sensitivities
Valuation input	Input value or range	Change in input	Resulting change in valuation
New Zealand forward electricity pricing	$129 - $271 NZD$/MWH	+/- $50 NZD/MWH	$-/+ 2 million
Methanol price forecast	$300 - $350 per MT	+/- $25 per MT	$-/+1 million
Volume of natural gas	Annual estimates based on third party forecasts	+/- 10%	$+4/-3 million

It is possible that the assumptions used in establishing fair value amounts will differ from future outcomes and the impact of such variations could be material.

10.New Zealand gas sale net proceeds:

In the third quarter of 2024, the Company entered into short-term commercial arrangements to provide the natural gas available to the Company into the New Zealand electricity market. As a result, the Company has recognized $71 million of net proceeds in the third quarter of 2024 relating to gas provided up to the end of September. This does not include fixed costs, the impact of lost margin on the sale of methanol that was not produced in the period and additional supply chain costs incurred.

11.Egypt insurance recovery:

We experienced an outage at the Egypt plant from October 2023 to February 2024. We have recorded a $59 million ($30 million - attributable to Methanex) insurance recovery which partially offsets repair costs charged to earnings and lost margins incurred in the fourth quarter of 2023 and first quarter of 2024. At September 30, 2024, the insurance recovery is included in Trade and other receivables as the proceeds were received in the fourth quarter of 2024.

12.Agreement to Acquire OCI Global's Methanol Business:

On September 8, 2024, Methanex entered into a definitive agreement to acquire OCI Global’s international methanol business (“OCI Methanol”), subject to certain conditions and approvals. Excluding the impact of cash, debt, and working capital adjustments, and including the assumption of a share of non-recourse debt, consideration for the acquisition of OCI Methanol will consist of $1.18 billion in cash, and the issuance of 9.9 million common shares of Methanex Corporation.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2024 THIRD QUARTER

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED) PAGE 17

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

METHANEX CORPORATION

Date: November 6, 2024

By:

/s/ KEVIN PRICE

Name:

Kevin Price

Title:

SVP, General Counsel
and Corporate Secretary

Get the next $MEOH alert in real time by email

SEC Form 6-K filed by Methanex Corporation

Chat with this insight

Recent Analyst Ratings for
$MEOH

$MEOH
Market Insights

Live Market Insights

Methanex, Entropy Enter Agreement To Invest In Pre-FEED Study For Carbon Capture, Utilization And Sequestration Deployment At Alberta Facility

Scotiabank Maintains Sector Outperform on Methanex, Raises Price Target to $60

UBS Maintains Buy on Methanex, Raises Price Target to $64

$MEOH
Large Ownership Changes

This live feed shows all institutional transactions in real time.

Amendment: SEC Form SC 13G/A filed by Methanex Corporation

Amendment: SEC Form SC 13G/A filed by Methanex Corporation

SEC Form SC 13G/A filed by Methanex Corporation (Amendment)

$MEOH
Analyst Ratings

Analyst ratings in real time. Analyst ratings have a very high impact on the underlying stock. See them live in this feed.

Methanex downgraded by Barclays with a new price target

Methanex upgraded by Piper Sandler with a new price target

Methanex upgraded by UBS with a new price target

$MEOH
SEC Filings