Free Writing Prospectus to Preliminary Pricing Supplement No. 4,816
Registration Statement Nos. 333-275587; 333-275587-01
Dated November 8, 2024; Filed pursuant to Rule 433
Morgan Stanley
23-Month Worst-of NDX, IYR and XLU Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature
This document provides a summary of the terms of the securities. Investors must carefully review the accompanying preliminary pricing supplement referenced below, product supplement, index supplement and prospectus, and the “Risk Considerations” on the following page, prior to making an investment decision.
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Terms |
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Issuing entity: |
Morgan Stanley Finance LLC |
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Guarantor: |
Morgan Stanley |
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Underlyings: |
Nasdaq-100 Index® (“NDX”), iShares® U.S. Real Estate ETF (“IYR”) and Utilities Select Sector SPDR® Fund (“XLU”) |
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Early redemption: |
Determination dates: |
Call threshold level: |
Call payment: |
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1st: |
2/21/2025 |
97% of the initial level for each underlying |
At least $1,023.75 |
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2nd: |
3/21/2025 |
At least $1,031.667 |
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3rd: |
4/21/2025 |
At least $1,039.583 |
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4th: |
5/21/2025 |
At least $1,047.50 |
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5th: |
6/23/2025 |
At least $1,055.417 |
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6th: |
7/21/2025 |
At least $1,063.333 |
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7th: |
8/21/2025 |
At least $1,071.25 |
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8th: |
9/22/2025 |
At least $1,079.167 |
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9th: |
10/21/2025 |
At least $1,087.083 |
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10th: |
11/25/2025 |
At least $1,095.00 |
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11th: |
12/22/2025 |
At least $1,102.917 |
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12th: |
1/21/2026 |
At least $1,110.833 |
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13th: |
2/23/2026 |
At least $1,118.75 |
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14th: |
3/23/2026 |
At least $1,126.667 |
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15th: |
4/21/2026 |
At least $1,134.583 |
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16th: |
5/21/2026 |
At least $1,142.50 |
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17th: |
6/22/2026 |
At least $1,150.417 |
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18th: |
7/21/2026 |
At least $1,158.333 |
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19th: |
8/21/2026 |
At least $1,166.25 |
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20th: |
9/21/2026 |
At least $1,174.167 |
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Downside threshold level: |
65% of the initial level for each underlying |
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Pricing date: |
November 21, 2024 |
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Final determination date: |
October 21, 2026 |
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Maturity date: |
October 26, 2026 |
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CUSIP: |
61776WYV9 |
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Preliminary pricing supplement: |
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/895421/000183988224038357/ms4816_424b2-22804.htm |
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1All payments are subject to our credit risk
Hypothetical Examples
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Early Redemption1 |
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Date |
Change in Worst Performing Underlying |
Payment (per security) |
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1st Determination Date |
-20% |
-- |
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2nd Determination Date |
+20% |
$1,031.667* |
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The securities are automatically redeemed on the second early redemption date. Investors will receive a payment of $1,031.667 per security on the related early redemption date. |
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*Assumes a call return of 9.50% per annum
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Hypothetical Payout at Maturity1 |
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Assuming that one or more of the underlyings close below the respective call threshold level(s) on each of the monthly determination dates (beginning after three months), and, consequently, the securities are not automatically redeemed prior to, and remain outstanding until, maturity: |
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Change in Worst Performing Underlying |
Payment (per security) |
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+30% |
$1,182.083* |
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+20% |
$1,182.083* |
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+10% |
$1,182.083* |
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0% |
$1,182.083* |
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-3% |
$1,182.083* |
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-10% |
$1,000.00 |
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-20% |
$1,000.00 |
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-30% |
$1,000.00 |
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-35% |
$1,000.00 |
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-36% |
$640.00 |
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-40% |
$600.00 |
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-50% |
$500.00 |
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-70% |
$300.00 |
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-90% |
$100.00 |
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*Assumes a call return of 9.50% per annum |
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The issuer has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus) with the SEC for the offering to which this communication relates. Before you invest, you should read the prospectus in that registration statement and other documents the issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information about the issuer and this offering. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, the issuer, any underwriter or any dealer participating in the offering will arrange to send you the prospectus if you request it by calling toll-free 1-800-584-6837.
Underlyings
For more information about the underlyings, including historical performance information, see the accompanying preliminary pricing supplement.
Risk Considerations
The risks set forth below are discussed in more detail in the “Risk Factors” section in the accompanying preliminary pricing supplement. Please review those risk factors carefully prior to making an investment decision.
Risks Relating to an Investment in the Securities
●The securities do not pay interest or guarantee the return of any principal.
●The appreciation potential of the securities is limited by the fixed early redemption payment or payment at maturity specified for each determination date.
●The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors.
●The securities are subject to our credit risk, and any actual or anticipated changes to our credit ratings or credit spreads may adversely affect the market value of the securities.
●As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations and will have no independent assets.
●The estimated value of the securities is approximately $971.10 per security, or within $35.00 of that estimate, and is determined by reference to our pricing and valuation models, which may differ from those of other dealers and is not a maximum or minimum secondary market price.
●Not equivalent to investing in the underlyings or the stocks composing the NDX Index, the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Capped Index or the Utilities Select Sector Index.
●Reinvestment risk.
●The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange and secondary trading may be limited, and accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities for the entire 23-month term of the securities.
●The rate we are willing to pay for securities of this type, maturity and issuance size is likely to be lower than the rate implied by our secondary market credit spreads and advantageous to us. Both the lower rate and the inclusion of costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price reduce the economic terms of the securities, cause the estimated value of the securities to be less than the original issue price and will adversely affect secondary market prices.
●Hedging and trading activity by our affiliates could potentially adversely affect the value of the securities.
●The calculation agent, which is a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley and an affiliate of MSFL, will make determinations with respect to the securities.
●The U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities are uncertain.
Risks Relating to the Underlyings
●You are exposed to the price risk of each underlying.
●Investing in the securities exposes investors to risks associated with investments with a concentration in the real estate industry.
●Investing in the securities exposes investors to risks associated with investments in securities with a concentration in the utilities sector.
●Adjustments to the NDX Index could adversely affect the value of the securities.
●Adjustments to the underlying shares or the share underlying indices could adversely affect the value of the securities.
●The performance and market price of the underlying shares, particularly during periods of market volatility, may not correlate with the performance of the respective share underlying index, the performance of the component securities of such share underlying index or the net asset value per share of such underlying shares.
●The antidilution adjustments the calculation agent is required to make do not cover every event that could affect the IYR Shares or the XLU Shares.
Tax Considerations
You should review carefully the discussion in the accompanying preliminary pricing supplement under the caption “Additional Information About the Securities–Tax considerations” concerning the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, and you should consult your tax adviser.